TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Henryk Tkaczyk vs Adam Staniczek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119911117911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
611119911117911
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 60–15 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 15 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Tkaczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-15 in 75
Tkaczyk
Wrong
gap of 45 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1494 vs Staniczek 1238
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 257 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 20% vs Staniczek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 30% vs Staniczek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk -1 · Staniczek -3
Staniczek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.74 / Staniczek 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13184467
Tkaczyk1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 397 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it94% 223 of 238
Up 1–0, closes it85% 305 of 359
Staniczek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 119 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back11% 34 of 305
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 229
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk90%9 of 10
AwayStaniczekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk10Staniczek0n = 10Tkaczyk took 10 of 10
S2Tkaczyk9Staniczek1n = 10Tkaczyk took 9 of 10
S3Tkaczyk5Staniczek5n = 10split evenly
S4Tkaczyk3Staniczek3n = 6split evenly
S5Tkaczyk2Staniczek1n = 3Tkaczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykStaniczekT − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime1015 / 1503 vs 364 / 100367.5%36.3%1015 / 1503 vs 364 / 1003Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.733.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.74/Staniczek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk4012116113A. Staniczek371081181
WAug 20 · 22:10H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Staniczek196670
LAug 20 · 19:40H. Tkaczyk4411119672A. Staniczek39331111113
WAug 18 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk4112117113A. Staniczek321041171
WAug 17 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Staniczek237790
WAug 6 · 23:50H. Tkaczyk47111510113A. Staniczek364131271
WAug 6 · 17:55H. Tkaczyk341211113A. Staniczek2810990
WAug 4 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk50111198113A. Staniczek4385111182
WAug 3 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Staniczek239590
WJul 26 · 22:55H. Tkaczyk5511111110123A. Staniczek50913612102
H. Tkaczyk10
LSep 25 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.3681191182M. Baran2.90115117113LSep 25 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.7781181152Z. Nocun1.95119117113WSep 24 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.3511101011113M. Lewczuk2.9571212542LSep 24 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.37116611112K. Kwiatkowski2.87811116133LSep 24 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.688960M. Warzecha2.051111113LSep 24 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.9381181162M. Karpiuk1.78118112113WSep 24 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.051113113W. Stechly7.5091150WSep 23 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.84101311113J. Zelezik1.871211541LSep 23 · 22:20J. Slawomir2.905111011113H. Tkaczyk1.3511812892LSep 23 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.8751111113H. Tkaczyk1.83114721
A. Staniczek10
LSep 25 · 03:05Z. Nocun1.74631111113A. Staniczek1.9911118852LSep 25 · 01:30A. Staniczek2.7011111231G. Mucha1.4291314113LSep 25 · 24:20A. Staniczek2.00811761M. Baran1.7011911113LSep 24 · 22:40A. Staniczek3.4511770M. Lewczuk1.251311113WSep 24 · 21:05Z. Nocun1.359790A. Staniczek2.901111113LSep 24 · 20:20M. Baran1.57111110113A. Staniczek2.25491231WSep 24 · 19:30A. Staniczek2.601111113G. Mucha1.348770LSep 24 · 18:20A. Staniczek6.705870D. Molenda1.041111113WSep 24 · 02:10A. Staniczek3.401111113Z. Nocun1.303980LSep 24 · 24:35K. Delikatny1.8311911113A. Staniczek1.83811991
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