TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Henryk Tkaczyk vs Mateusz Baran 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115911117811
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
811115911117811
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 2–0 Mateusz Baran Mateusz Baran has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.36 / Baran 2.90
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13192678
Tkaczyk1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 397 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it94% 223 of 238
Up 1–0, closes it85% 305 of 359
Baran2.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTkaczyk2wins
AwayBaran0wins
Tkaczyk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTkaczykBaranT − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.022.5+11.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime1014 / 1502 vs 95 / 17967.5%53.1%1014 / 1502 vs 95 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.36/Baran 2.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 20 · 22:55H. Tkaczyk351111133M. Baran2586110
WJul 20 · 16:55H. Tkaczyk331111113M. Baran208480
H. Tkaczyk10
LSep 25 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.7461191192A. Staniczek2.00119117113LSep 25 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.7781181152Z. Nocun1.95119117113WSep 24 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.3511101011113M. Lewczuk2.9571212542LSep 24 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.37116611112K. Kwiatkowski2.87811116133LSep 24 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.688960M. Warzecha2.051111113LSep 24 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.9381181162M. Karpiuk1.78118112113WSep 24 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.051113113W. Stechly7.5091150WSep 23 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.84101311113J. Zelezik1.871211541LSep 23 · 22:20J. Slawomir2.905111011113H. Tkaczyk1.3511812892LSep 23 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.8751111113H. Tkaczyk1.83114721
M. Baran10
WSep 25 · 02:45M. Baran2.1051111113G. Mucha1.65116571WSep 25 · 01:10M. Baran2.0011511113M. Lewczuk1.72711761WSep 25 · 24:20A. Staniczek2.00811761M. Baran1.7011911113LSep 24 · 23:05M. Baran1.8510660G. Mucha1.851211113LSep 24 · 21:30M. Baran1.691181112102D. Molenda2.06811714123WSep 24 · 20:20M. Baran1.57111110113A. Staniczek2.25491231LSep 24 · 18:45M. Baran2.25161151322Z. Nocun1.571881111113LSep 24 · 17:30M. Baran2.1079110M. Lewczuk1.601111133WSep 23 · 04:40K. Delikatny2.00781171M. Baran1.7111119113WSep 23 · 03:55M. Karpiuk1.80119119102M. Baran1.92911811123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.