TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Henryk Tkaczyk vs Jacek Zelezik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.84
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121311115114––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
10121311115114––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 27–16 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Zelezik beat Tkaczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkaczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.84 / Zelezik 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13186780
Tkaczyk1.84
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 402 of 571
Up 2–0, closes it94% 225 of 240
Up 1–0, closes it85% 307 of 360
Zelezik1.87
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 82 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk8wins
AwayZelezik2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayZelezik25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk6Zelezik4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk6Zelezik4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Tkaczyk7Zelezik3n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Tkaczyk4Zelezik3n = 7Tkaczyk took 4 of 7
S5Tkaczyk3Zelezik0n = 3Tkaczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykZelezikT − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.133.0+7.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime1018 / 1507 vs 394 / 72667.6%54.3%1018 / 1507 vs 394 / 726Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.84/Zelezik 1.87
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk27511381J. Zelezik3711411113
WSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk331111113J. Zelezik248970
WSep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk331111113J. Zelezik247980
WSep 10 · 19:55H. Tkaczyk5410111111113J. Zelezik4212137552
LSep 8 · 01:50H. Tkaczyk32117771J. Zelezik3851111113
WSep 7 · 18:10H. Tkaczyk3811511113J. Zelezik23511341
WAug 26 · 22:35H. Tkaczyk517111111113J. Zelezik3711621352
WAug 26 · 15:00H. Tkaczyk541181211123J. Zelezik49711147102
WAug 17 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk331111113J. Zelezik145630
WAug 17 · 15:10H. Tkaczyk4691214113J. Zelezik4211101291
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 24 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.051113113W. Stechly7.5091150LSep 23 · 22:20J. Slawomir2.905111011113H. Tkaczyk1.3511812892LSep 23 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.8751111113H. Tkaczyk1.83114721LSep 23 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.9611881192K. Kwiatkowski1.76711118113LSep 23 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.54511381J. Zelezik2.2511411113LSep 23 · 18:20M. Karpiuk3.601211711113H. Tkaczyk1.2214511332WSep 21 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.4011611962H. Tkaczyk1.50911711113WSep 21 · 08:30A. Barton2.85115951H. Tkaczyk1.3571111113WSep 21 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.30111711113J. Michalik2.80919671WSep 21 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski6.9054100H. Tkaczyk1.021111123
J. Zelezik10
LSep 24 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.801111113J. Zelezik1.906450WSep 23 · 22:40M. Karpiuk1.90118112112J. Zelezik1.81711611133LSep 23 · 21:55K. Kwiatkowski2.60611611113J. Zelezik1.4411511882WSep 23 · 19:55J. Slawomir2.151110101192J. Zelezik1.55712126113WSep 23 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.54511381J. Zelezik2.2511411113LSep 23 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.4011612113J. Zelezik2.759111091WSep 22 · 01:30A. Zmijewski1.8311631132J. Zelezik1.83511119113LSep 22 · 24:50M. Karpiuk3.0011712113J. Zelezik1.369111091WSep 21 · 23:10K. Kwiatkowski2.38781191J. Zelezik1.5311116113WSep 21 · 22:30M. Lewczuk2.10111011582J. Zelezik1.67612711113
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