Piotr Strus vs Piotr Krukar 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 23Finished

Piotr Strus

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1191173111311––

Piotr Krukar

Away

1.58

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%

Graded at full time

Piotr Strus to win

58.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

76 points played in total.

Set by set

1191173111311––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:32

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.58 (59%)

Krukar

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Strus 1261 vs Krukar 1213

Strus

Correct

both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Strus 60% vs Krukar 40%

Strus

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Strus 50% vs Krukar 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Strus -1 · Krukar +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krukar) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krukar form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStrus 2.25 / Krukar 1.58

Signal prob.44% / 57%

Edge (Krukar)-2.2pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13184362

Strus2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog44% won 93 of 210

Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 107

Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 61

Krukar1.58

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite31% won 4 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStrusKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 855 vs 6 / 1945.9%31.6%392 / 855 vs 6 / 19Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Krukar

Strus 2.25/Krukar 1.58

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.5%

Krukar · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Strus won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Strus10