TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Czerwinski vs Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Bartosz Czerwinski
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116112115––
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
2.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
911116112115––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 3–0 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1543 vs Zwolinski 1310
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 60% vs Zwolinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 60% vs Zwolinski 40%
Czerwinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski -1 · Zwolinski +3
Zwolinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zwolinski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.40 / Zwolinski 2.65
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Czerwinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13181783
Czerwinski1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 97 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Zwolinski2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 52 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCzerwinski3wins
AwayZwolinski0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski2Zwolinski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S2Czerwinski1Zwolinski2n = 3Zwolinski took 2 of 3
S3Czerwinski2Zwolinski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S4Czerwinski2Zwolinski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiZwolinskiC − ZBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match46.338.0+8.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 1035 vs 140 / 38047.6%36.8%493 / 1035 vs 140 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiCzerwinski 1.40/Zwolinski 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.2%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 21 · 11:25B. Czerwinski4281211113M. Zwolinski331110751
WSep 16 · 14:20B. Czerwinski49118811113M. Zwolinski4381111582
WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski48117118113M. Zwolinski3871161132
B. Czerwinski10
WSep 23 · 06:30A. Szoltysek3.557570B. Czerwinski1.221111113WSep 23 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn3.3085100B. Czerwinski1.271111123LSep 23 · 03:50B. Czerwinski1.521110781R. Stapor2.3091211113WSep 22 · 14:40P. Blocho1.956970B. Czerwinski1.751111113WSep 22 · 13:30B. Czerwinski2.4091111113D. Solilo1.50117361LSep 22 · 12:15A. Sobel1.76911512113B. Czerwinski1.90119111062WSep 22 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.8014630B. Czerwinski1.901611113LSep 22 · 09:25B. Sulkowski1.83111011113B. Czerwinski1.83912841WSep 21 · 14:20D. Solilo1.80111151042B. Czerwinski1.86551112113WSep 21 · 13:30P. Blocho1.888158111B. Czerwinski1.82111311133
M. Zwolinski10
WSep 23 · 06:05R. Stapor1.301291171M. Zwolinski3.05101113113WSep 23 · 03:25A. Szoltysek2.05911691M. Zwolinski1.6811611113WSep 21 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.2511916113F. Krcil1.579111461WSep 21 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.75611118113D. Solilo1.2211951182LSep 21 · 11:25M. Zwolinski2.551110751B. Czerwinski1.4281211113LSep 21 · 10:10A. Sobel1.30711115113M. Zwolinski3.0511881192LSep 21 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.501141051P. Blocho1.2581112113WSep 21 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.251111113F. Krcil1.573680LSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113LSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113
Upcoming Matches
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