TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Pohonov vs Andrii Romanenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Pohonov
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119113––––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:05 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Pohonov above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 60.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Pohonov 44–22 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 22 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-22 in 66
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 22 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohonov 1750 vs Romanenko 1748
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohonov 60% vs Romanenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohonov 60% vs Romanenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohonov -1 · Romanenko +3
Romanenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohonov 1.57 / Romanenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13173710
Pohonov1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 184 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it92% 93 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it77% 134 of 175
Romanenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 74 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohonov7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohonov87.5%7 of 8
AwayRomanenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohonov8Romanenko2n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S2Pohonov5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Pohonov8Romanenko2n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S4Pohonov5Romanenko2n = 7Pohonov took 5 of 7
S5Pohonov1Romanenko3n = 4Romanenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohonovRomanenkoP − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.2+3.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohonovRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 539 vs 306 / 57051.8%53.7%279 / 539 vs 306 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovPohonov 1.57/Romanenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 21:45O. Pohonov45111011133A. Romanenko397129111
LSep 17 · 05:05O. Pohonov58151511892A. Romanenko591713711113
WSep 16 · 17:35O. Pohonov531110911123A. Romanenko49812118102
LSep 12 · 21:15O. Pohonov4111114872A. Romanenko50891111113
WSep 10 · 11:35O. Pohonov331111113A. Romanenko238780
WSep 9 · 14:35O. Pohonov3911611113A. Romanenko34811691
WSep 9 · 03:00O. Pohonov331111113A. Romanenko205960
WAug 30 · 22:15O. Pohonov351113113A. Romanenko2671180
WAug 29 · 23:45O. Pohonov3911611113A. Romanenko31611771
LAug 27 · 06:05O. Pohonov4378111162A. Romanenko51111199113
O. Pohonov10
LSep 22 · 22:30V. Zharskiy1.6111614113O. Pohonov2.207111291WSep 22 · 21:00O. Pohonov1.331111113I. Sukovatyi3.258970WSep 20 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi3.003780O. Pohonov1.361111113WSep 20 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.6712118113V. Krokhmal2.101081181LSep 19 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.611111113O. Pohonov2.209550WSep 19 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.387129111O. Pohonov1.53111011133LSep 19 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.25112119113O. Pohonov1.5751161182LSep 17 · 11:35B. Chaikovskyi1.6111611143O. Pohonov2.208118121WSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102WSep 17 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4091111182O. Pohonov2.75111186113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 22 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko2.759760A. Romanenko1.401111113WSep 22 · 20:30V. Zharskiy2.631191011102A. Romanenko1.44811126123WSep 20 · 02:15A. Romanenko1.501281011133R. Konkulovskyi2.501011125112LSep 20 · 24:45A. Romanenko2.2512950B. Chaikovskyi1.571411113LSep 19 · 23:15A. Romanenko2.1011690I. Sukovatyi1.671311113LSep 19 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.387129111O. Pohonov1.53111011133WSep 19 · 20:15A. Romanenko1.8041111123V. Krokhmal1.911156101LSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460LSep 17 · 09:35A. Romanenko2.25491131B. Chaikovskyi1.5711119113WSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182
Upcoming Matches
O. Pohonov
Sep 23 · 24:30O. Pohonov2.63G. Kuzmenko1.44—Sep 23 · 02:30O. Pohonov2.38B. Chaikovskyi1.53—Sep 23 · 12:35O. Pohonov1.33I. Sukovatyi3.25—Sep 23 · 14:35O. Pohonov2.63G. Kuzmenko1.44—Sep 23 · 16:05O. Pohonov2.38B. Chaikovskyi1.53—Sep 23 · 17:05O. Pohonov1.57A. Romanenko2.25—Sep 23 · 18:05O. Pohonov2.20V. Zharskiy1.61—
A. Romanenko
Sep 23 · 01:30A. Romanenko2.25B. Chaikovskyi1.57—Sep 23 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.20I. Sukovatyi1.61—Sep 23 · 13:05A. Romanenko1.33G. Kuzmenko3.25—Sep 23 · 14:05A. Romanenko2.25B. Chaikovskyi1.57—Sep 23 · 15:05A. Romanenko1.50V. Zharskiy2.50—Sep 23 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 23 · 19:05A. Romanenko2.20I. Sukovatyi1.61—
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