TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112117611116––
Tomasz Kordaszewski
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWitold Stechly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
112117611116––
H2H Witold Stechly 2–1 Tomasz Kordaszewski Tomasz Kordaszewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Stechly
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1123 vs Kordaszewski 865
Stechly
Correct
both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 40% vs Kordaszewski 20%
Stechly
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Kordaszewski 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -3 · Kordaszewski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Stechly) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kordaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 1.44 / Kordaszewski 2.60
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Stechly)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13166870
Stechly1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kordaszewski2.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog9% won 5 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back4% 2 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStechly2wins
AwayKordaszewski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStechly leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly66.7%2 of 3
AwayKordaszewskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Kordaszewski0n = 3Stechly took 3 of 3
S2Stechly2Kordaszewski1n = 3Stechly took 2 of 3
S3Stechly2Kordaszewski1n = 3Stechly took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStechlyKordaszewskiS − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.734.3+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyKordaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 538 vs 5 / 7117.3%7%93 / 538 vs 5 / 71Avg sets wonper match1.20.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.227.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StechlyStechly 1.44/Kordaszewski 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.2%
Stechly · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 21 · 06:50W. Stechly3911116113T. Kordaszewski26271161
LSep 14 · 06:50W. Stechly44111211642T. Kordaszewski48614611113
WAug 31 · 06:50W. Stechly361411113T. Kordaszewski2912890
W. Stechly10
LSep 21 · 05:30W. Stechly1.681031191A. Barton1.8712117113LSep 21 · 04:10W. Stechly5.751111891H. Tkaczyk1.0591311113LSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123WSep 17 · 04:20W. Stechly5.8511118113M. Warzecha1.08991191WSep 17 · 03:05W. Stechly5.051011711113Z. Nocun1.1112111772LSep 17 · 01:55W. Stechly1.845560K. Rybak1.791111113LSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940LSep 16 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751151041A. Staniczek1.3671112113WSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162LSep 14 · 07:50W. Stechly4.5054100J. Slawomir1.141111123
T. Kordaszewski10
LSep 21 · 06:10J. Slawomir1.041111113T. Kordaszewski5.954580LSep 21 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski6.9054100H. Tkaczyk1.021111123LSep 21 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski3.958830J. Michalik1.201111113WSep 14 · 09:50T. Kordaszewski1.95791114113T. Przebierala1.75111121282LSep 14 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.291181111113T. Kordaszewski3.1061113742WSep 14 · 06:50W. Stechly1.39111211642T. Kordaszewski2.60614611113LSep 14 · 06:10J. Slawomir1.071111123T. Kordaszewski6.5073100LSep 14 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski8.004660H. Tkaczyk1.031111113LSep 14 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski5.306101431M. Wolny1.10111212113LSep 3 · 02:35T. Kordaszewski13.00111010101A. Zmijewski1.0181212123
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