TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131186111191513
Karol Kufel
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:59 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeKarol Kufel to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
108 points played in total.
Set by set
11131186111191513
H2H Igor Dabrowski 1–0 Karol Kufel Karol Kufel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Dabrowski beat Kufel 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Kufel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1388 vs Kufel 1465
Kufel
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Kufel 80%
Kufel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 50% vs Kufel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Kufel +3
Kufel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kufel) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kufel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 2.25 / Kufel 1.54
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kufel)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13162319
Dabrowski2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 112 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Kufel1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDabrowski1wins
AwayKufel0wins
Dabrowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDabrowskiKufelD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.022.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiKufelBasisWin rate · lifetime805 / 1598 vs 13 / 2250.4%59.1%805 / 1598 vs 13 / 22Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.735.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KufelDabrowski 2.25/Kufel 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Kufel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 06:50I. Dabrowski351113113K. Kufel2261150
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 20 · 13:00I. Dabrowski1.78711911113M. Zagajewski1.9111611472LSep 20 · 10:05I. Dabrowski1.86751181P. Maruszak1.8311118113WSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152LSep 20 · 07:40P. Staniszewski2.00111179113I. Dabrowski1.7076111182WSep 20 · 06:50K. Kufel1.8061150I. Dabrowski1.911113113WSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.8751111113M. Zagajewski1.83114471LSep 20 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.85711121142M. Lukaszewski1.80116146113WSep 20 · 03:40M. Misiak1.80961161I. Dabrowski1.9011119113WSep 19 · 07:40W. Gronowski1.908111191I. Dabrowski1.7511813113LSep 19 · 06:50M. Minda1.57111110143I. Dabrowski2.258712121
K. Kufel10
WSep 20 · 12:35P. Maruszak2.25561131K. Kufel1.5411115113WSep 20 · 10:55K. Kufel1.801211113M. Misiak1.9010770WSep 20 · 09:45K. Kufel1.7761111123M. Zagajewski1.951176101WSep 20 · 08:30K. Kufel1.801111123M. Zagajewski1.8578100LSep 20 · 06:50K. Kufel1.8061150I. Dabrowski1.911113113WSep 20 · 05:35K. Kufel1.66514119123M. Misiak2.101112711102LSep 20 · 04:00K. Kufel1.617540P. Staniszewski2.201111113LSep 20 · 03:00K. Kufel1.408580M. Lukaszewski2.751111113WSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113WSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260
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