Aleksander Pilch vs Bartosz Sulkowski 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154732

Played Sep 19Finished

Aleksander Pilch

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

116911811411––

Bartosz Sulkowski

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:40 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%

Graded at full time

Aleksander Pilch to win

66.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAleksander Pilch above · Bartosz Sulkowski below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Aleksander Pilch at 66.8%

71 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:40

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Sulkowski

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Pilch 1297 vs Sulkowski 1485

Sulkowski

Correct

both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pilch 80% vs Sulkowski 60%

Pilch

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pilch 50% vs Sulkowski 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Pilch +2 · Sulkowski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPilch 2.20 / Sulkowski 1.61

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Sulkowski)+0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13154732

Pilch2.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Sulkowski1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 183 of 315

Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79

Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPilchSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 15 vs 568 / 128053.3%44.4%8 / 15 vs 568 / 1280Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sulkowski

Pilch 2.20/Sulkowski 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.7%

Sulkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Sulkowski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Pilch10