TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148411
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleh Bindas
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315118811611––
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeOleh Bindas to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Bindas above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 83 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Bindas at 60.4%
83 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Bindas 21–24 Yaroslav Kravets Oleh Bindas has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bindas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-24 in 45
Kravets
Correct
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bindas 1817 vs Kravets 1606
Bindas
Wrong
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bindas 80% vs Kravets 60%
Bindas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bindas 90% vs Kravets 40%
Bindas
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bindas +4 · Kravets +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBindas 1.44 / Kravets 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Bindas)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148411
Bindas1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 136 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it80% 104 of 130
Kravets2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 61 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBindas6wins
AwayKravets4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBindas100%5 of 5
AwayKravets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bindas5Kravets5n = 10split evenly
S2Bindas6Kravets4n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S3Bindas4Kravets6n = 10Kravets took 6 of 10
S4Bindas5Kravets3n = 8Bindas took 5 of 8
S5Bindas3Kravets1n = 4Bindas took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBindasKravetsB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.5+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBindasKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 729 vs 236 / 48063.9%49.2%466 / 729 vs 236 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasBindas 1.44/Kravets 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kravets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 18:35O. Bindas53131191192Y. Kravets46152117113
LJun 27 · 07:05O. Bindas38991191Y. Kravets3911116113
LJun 20 · 07:05O. Bindas36971191Y. Kravets4211119113
WJun 19 · 14:35O. Bindas3711123113Y. Kravets323101181
WJun 13 · 07:35O. Bindas341111123Y. Kravets2349100
WJun 12 · 15:05O. Bindas47511911113Y. Kravets4511511992
WMay 9 · 09:35O. Bindas46115811113Y. Kravets4371111772
LMay 8 · 16:35O. Bindas33911581Y. Kravets3711411113
WMay 2 · 09:35O. Bindas501161111113Y. Kravets4761113892
WMay 1 · 18:35O. Bindas381111163Y. Kravets3189140
O. Bindas10
LSep 19 · 10:35O. Bindas1.5361360I. Kozachuk2.381115113WSep 19 · 09:05O. Bindas1.3611411113S. Rak3.00911871WSep 19 · 07:35O. Bindas1.13781111113O. Hura5.5011112412WSep 19 · 06:05O. Bindas1.14611115113R. Haiseniuk5.0011251172LSep 19 · 04:35O. Bindas1.3697100D. Shcherbak3.001111123WSep 18 · 18:05O. Bindas1.504111173I. Kozachuk2.50119921WSep 18 · 16:35O. Bindas1.14119711113R. Haiseniuk5.0051111882WSep 18 · 13:35O. Bindas1.361111113D. Shcherbak3.007390WSep 18 · 12:05O. Bindas1.1471111113O. Hura5.00119371WSep 18 · 03:00D. Shcherbak3.00111189112O. Bindas1.36291111133
Y. Kravets10
LSep 18 · 19:05Y. Kravets2.5010890D. Shcherbak1.501211113WSep 18 · 17:05I. Kozachuk1.6171950Y. Kravets2.201121113WSep 18 · 14:05Y. Kravets1.3071111113O. Hura3.05119251WSep 18 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.535101131Y. Kravets2.3811126113WSep 12 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.7387111492Y. Kravets2.001111512113LSep 12 · 09:35Y. Kravets3.006580N. Kovalchuk1.361111113LSep 12 · 08:35Y. Kravets2.3812311892R. Haiseniuk1.531011311113LSep 12 · 07:05Y. Kravets2.251112881I. Romaniak1.5761411113WSep 12 · 05:05Y. Kravets1.91101111123R. Lazebnyi1.801272101LSep 11 · 19:05Y. Kravets1.807890M. Smyrnov1.911111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.