TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13132846
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Malachowski
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199111012411––
Miroslav Sklensky
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:27 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sklensky to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1199111012411––
H2H Michal Malachowski 12–23 Miroslav Sklensky Michal Malachowski has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sklensky beat Malachowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-23 in 35
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malachowski 1713 vs Sklensky 1814
Sklensky
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malachowski 20% vs Sklensky 80%
Sklensky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malachowski 40% vs Sklensky 80%
Sklensky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malachowski +1 · Sklensky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sklensky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalachowski 2.25 / Sklensky 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Sklensky)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13132846
Malachowski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 32 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Sklensky1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 223 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it84% 162 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMalachowski6wins
AwaySklensky4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMalachowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMalachowski83.3%5 of 6
AwaySklensky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malachowski6Sklensky4n = 10Malachowski took 6 of 10
S2Malachowski6Sklensky4n = 10Malachowski took 6 of 10
S3Malachowski6Sklensky4n = 10Malachowski took 6 of 10
S4Malachowski2Sklensky5n = 7Sklensky took 5 of 7
S5Malachowski3Sklensky2n = 5Malachowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalachowskiSklenskyM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.5+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalachowskiSklenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 790 vs 677 / 113152.7%59.9%416 / 790 vs 677 / 1131Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskyMalachowski 2.25/Sklensky 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 06:50M. Malachowski4013213572M. Sklensky5511111111113
WAug 25 · 18:05M. Malachowski331111113M. Sklensky238780
LAug 24 · 16:55M. Malachowski50911911102M. Sklensky45113118123
WAug 20 · 18:05M. Malachowski52811139113M. Sklensky47117111172
WApr 9 · 10:20M. Malachowski331111113M. Sklensky238960
LApr 9 · 06:10M. Malachowski29811641M. Sklensky3711411113
WJan 21 · 04:30M. Malachowski531171113113M. Sklensky4491171522
WJan 20 · 13:20M. Malachowski511181110113M. Sklensky4241161292
LJan 20 · 06:00M. Malachowski218760M. Sklensky331111113
WJan 19 · 12:30M. Malachowski4211119113M. Sklensky26511191
M. Malachowski10
WSep 15 · 09:00M. Malachowski2.10118611113K. Glazowski1.6691111892LSep 15 · 07:40K. Wisniewski2.00119113113M. Malachowski1.7071151192LSep 15 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.5811111111113M. Malachowski2.1413213572LSep 15 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.02411491L. Jarocki1.6511911113LSep 15 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.75881161K. Glazowski1.9511117113LSep 15 · 03:40K. Kapik2.001111113M. Malachowski1.666870WSep 14 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.915570M. Malachowski1.801111113WSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172LSep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64118137113M. Malachowski2.04911111182WSep 14 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.83811681M. Malachowski1.8311711113
M. Sklensky10
WSep 15 · 09:20M. Sklensky1.6161212113M. Rutkowski2.0911101061LSep 15 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.75121170L. Jarocki1.901413113WSep 15 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.5811111111113M. Malachowski2.1413213572WSep 15 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.4951111113K. Kapik2.34115761WSep 15 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.411111113K. Wisniewski2.608640WSep 15 · 03:00M. Sklensky1.801111113K. Glazowski1.904740WSep 8 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz2.0511611962M. Sklensky1.65911611113LSep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.90101111123M. Sklensky1.741279101WSep 8 · 12:10M. Sklensky1.811211113A. Daniel1.8310970WSep 8 · 10:30M. Sklensky1.5211811113K. Wisniewski2.27511731
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