TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130190
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Malachowski
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811117611––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Malachowski to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811811117611––
H2H Michal Malachowski 19–17 Kacper Glazowski Kacper Glazowski has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 16h before this match
Glazowski beat Malachowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Malachowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-17 in 36
Malachowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malachowski 1767 vs Glazowski 1724
Malachowski
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malachowski 80% vs Glazowski 40%
Malachowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malachowski 80% vs Glazowski 50%
Malachowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malachowski +2 · Glazowski -3
Glazowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Malachowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalachowski 1.75 / Glazowski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Malachowski)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13130190
Malachowski1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 113 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 85 of 115
Glazowski1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 77 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMalachowski5wins
AwayGlazowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMalachowski100%5 of 5
AwayGlazowski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malachowski5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Malachowski5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Malachowski5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Malachowski2Glazowski4n = 6Glazowski took 4 of 6
S5Malachowski2Glazowski1n = 3Malachowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalachowskiGlazowskiM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.5−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalachowskiGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 789 vs 488 / 99752.9%49%417 / 789 vs 488 / 997Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalachowskiMalachowski 1.75/Glazowski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Malachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 12:10M. Malachowski50911111182K. Glazowski50118137113
WSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski46116116123K. Glazowski45911411102
WAug 25 · 19:15M. Malachowski45123118113K. Glazowski46101151192
LAug 24 · 15:45M. Malachowski391291171K. Glazowski4214116113
WMay 4 · 19:25M. Malachowski44111111113K. Glazowski31961331
LDec 12 · 14:10M. Malachowski29411681K. Glazowski3911611113
LDec 12 · 07:10M. Malachowski206680K. Glazowski331111113
WDec 11 · 11:40M. Malachowski361112133K. Glazowski29810110
LDec 11 · 07:10M. Malachowski205780K. Glazowski331111113
WDec 10 · 14:10M. Malachowski361114113K. Glazowski2761290
M. Malachowski10
WSep 14 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.915570M. Malachowski1.801111113WSep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.801113107113G. Poliniewicz1.90411121172LSep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64118137113M. Malachowski2.04911111182WSep 14 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.83811681M. Malachowski1.8311711113WSep 14 · 09:20K. Kapik2.006990M. Malachowski1.661111113WSep 14 · 07:40A. Sobel2.75711471M. Malachowski1.3711911113WSep 14 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.201013171292M. Malachowski1.6012151510113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102LSep 14 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.951110117122J. Kuzmicz1.70712811143WSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113
K. Glazowski10
LSep 15 · 03:00M. Sklensky1.801111113K. Glazowski1.904740LSep 14 · 13:50K. Kapik2.3011116113K. Glazowski1.55751191LSep 14 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.92151011113K. Glazowski1.731312991WSep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64118137113M. Malachowski2.04911111182WSep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58111211113G. Poliniewicz2.14714971WSep 14 · 09:45M. Rutkowski2.08561151K. Glazowski1.6111118113WSep 14 · 08:30K. Wisniewski2.557640K. Glazowski1.411111113LSep 14 · 07:15K. Glazowski1.95101011121J. Kuzmicz1.7512127143LSep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.05116116123K. Glazowski1.65911411102WSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Malachowski
Sep 15 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.02L. Jarocki1.65—Sep 15 · 06:50M. Malachowski2.14M. Sklensky1.58—Sep 15 · 07:40M. Malachowski1.55K. Wisniewski2.19—Sep 15 · 09:00M. Malachowski2.10K. Glazowski1.60—Sep 15 · 10:05M. Malachowski2.21M. Sklensky1.54—Sep 15 · 11:45M. Malachowski2.43M. Miastowski1.45—Sep 15 · 13:00M. Malachowski2.02L. Jarocki1.65—
K. Glazowski
Sep 15 · 05:15K. Glazowski1.41K. Wisniewski2.55—Sep 15 · 07:15K. Glazowski1.73L. Jarocki1.92—Sep 15 · 08:05K. Glazowski1.50K. Kapik2.31—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.60M. Malachowski2.10—Sep 15 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.73L. Jarocki1.92—Sep 15 · 11:20K. Glazowski1.87M. Sklensky1.77—Sep 15 · 13:25K. Glazowski1.63M. Rutkowski2.06—Sep 15 · 14:15K. Glazowski—M. Miastowski——
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