TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13098111
Played Sep 8Finished
Matteo Mutti
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121131012117114
Daniele Pinto
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniele Pinto to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatteo Mutti above · Daniele Pinto below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 91 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Daniele Pinto at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side0 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mutti
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Mutti 40% vs Pinto 20%
Mutti
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mutti 40% vs Pinto 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mutti -3 · Pinto -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mutti) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pinto form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMutti 1.50 / Pinto 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Mutti)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13098111
Mutti1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Pinto2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuttiPintoBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 4 / 1040%40%4 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MuttiMutti 1.50/Pinto 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Mutti · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mutti won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Mutti10
LSep 9 · 09:30M. Mutti1.50111113642I. Gunduz2.50631511113LAug 8 · 18:50M. Mutti1.6711791452S. Walker2.109111112113LJul 23 · 07:00M. Karlsson1.221611163M. Mutti4.00149140LMay 13 · 16:25M. Yoshimura1.141211113M. Mutti5.0010650WMay 13 · 10:20T. Schweiger2.101151351M. Mutti1.67131111113WMay 12 · 08:00M. Mutti1.801211123A. Pal1.91107100LMay 4 · 11:15M. Mutti3.25127561A. Gacina1.33101111113LMay 4 · 09:35M. Mutti4.003870T. Pucar1.221111113WMay 1 · 16:30M. Mutti3.25112115143H. Cifuentes1.33511911122WMay 1 · 09:00Q. Wong2.2061060M. Mutti1.601112113
D. Pinto10
LSep 8 · 12:50I. Gunduz1.83911115113D. Pinto1.8311291182LAug 25 · 08:35D. Pinto—11911892C. Pletea—411711113LAug 24 · 14:00D. Pinto1.22711681N. Callaba4.0011711113LJul 21 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.831251011113D. Pinto1.83101112292WJul 21 · 09:44D. Pinto1.611181310113M. Danzer2.20411111272WJul 21 · 07:30D. Pinto2.751111113M. Danzer1.403790LJul 20 · 16:30D. Pinto1.119580M. Fuchs6.001111113WJul 20 · 14:30D. Pinto1.671111113A. Mino2.109860LJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431WJul 20 · 10:30A. Moreno6.006650D. Pinto1.111111113
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