TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12380287
Played Aug 8Finished
Matteo Mutti
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197119111412511
Samuel Walker
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatteo Mutti to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatteo Mutti above · Samuel Walker below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 100 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Matteo Mutti at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:36What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mutti
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Mutti 40% vs Walker 60%
Walker
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mutti 40% vs Walker 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mutti -2 · Walker -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mutti) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walker form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMutti 1.67 / Walker 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Mutti)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12380287
Mutti1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Walker2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuttiWalkerBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 3 / 1040%30%4 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuttiMutti 1.67/Walker 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Mutti · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Walker won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Mutti10
LJul 23 · 07:00M. Karlsson1.221611163M. Mutti4.00149140LMay 13 · 16:25M. Yoshimura1.141211113M. Mutti5.0010650WMay 13 · 10:20T. Schweiger2.101151351M. Mutti1.67131111113WMay 12 · 08:00M. Mutti1.801211123A. Pal1.91107100LMay 4 · 11:15M. Mutti3.25127561A. Gacina1.33101111113LMay 4 · 09:35M. Mutti4.003870T. Pucar1.221111113WMay 1 · 16:30M. Mutti3.25112115143H. Cifuentes1.33511911122WMay 1 · 09:00Q. Wong2.2061060M. Mutti1.601112113LApr 30 · 09:20M. Mutti2.504880R. Gardos1.501111113LMar 26 · 18:20V. Sidorenko1.201511113M. Mutti4.3313590
S. Walker10
LAug 9 · 13:50S. Walker3.7561040M. Redzimski1.251112113LJun 16 · 15:00S. Walker2.633121191C. Andras1.4411146113LMay 18 · 17:50T. Apolonia1.3081111113S. Walker3.40117641WMay 18 · 11:20S. Walker3.50912714123R. Yoshiyama1.2811101112102WMay 17 · 18:25C. Laine3.008870S. Walker1.361111113WMay 6 · 19:55S. Walker1.8091111113L. Iizuka1.91116691LMay 4 · 16:00V. Ursu1.301111113S. Walker3.406380LMay 3 · 16:26S. Walker8.502520W. Jang1.05111193LMay 2 · 18:56S. Walker6.5015750A. Kallberg1.10171193LMay 2 · 12:00S. Walker15.00961361C. Wang1.01111111113
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