TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Elfemov vs Vitalii Husiev 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 12Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161191012511118
Vitalii Husiev
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIvan Elfemov above · Vitalii Husiev below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8
94 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Elfemov 2–3 Vitalii Husiev Ivan Elfemov has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Elfemov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Husiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElfemov 1.73 / Husiev 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Elfemov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12211078
Elfemov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 114 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 90 of 107
Husiev2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 88 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeElfemov2wins
AwayHusiev3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHusiev leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeElfemov66.7%2 of 3
AwayHusievn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Elfemov3Husiev2n = 5Elfemov took 3 of 5
S2Elfemov3Husiev2n = 5Elfemov took 3 of 5
S3Elfemov2Husiev3n = 5Husiev took 3 of 5
S4Elfemov1Husiev2n = 3Husiev took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricElfemovHusievE − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.440.0−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElfemovHusievBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 360 vs 186 / 49362.8%37.7%226 / 360 vs 186 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovElfemov 1.73/Husiev 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 9 · 14:05I. Elfemov47111110692V. Husiev49781211113
LJun 9 · 13:05I. Elfemov227870V. Husiev331111113
WJun 3 · 12:35I. Elfemov441212203V. Husiev381010180
WJun 2 · 18:05I. Elfemov4411139113V. Husiev398111191
LMay 27 · 13:05I. Elfemov30491161V. Husiev4111118113
I. Elfemov10
WSep 17 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.579560I. Elfemov2.251111113WSep 17 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2011115113V. Sharpai1.61641161LSep 17 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401161211143I. Elfemov2.75411145122LSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262LSep 17 · 13:55O. Korobov1.331111113I. Elfemov3.257980LSep 15 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.671113113I. Elfemov2.1081160LSep 15 · 18:05I. Elfemov2.505930A. Lifanov1.501111113LSep 15 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.3381111123I. Elfemov3.251148101LSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871WSep 15 · 13:05F. Chashchin1.6110760I. Elfemov2.201211113
V. Husiev10
WAug 16 · 19:25V. Husiev1.6711811113A. Azarov2.10911951WAug 16 · 17:55V. Husiev2.25811511113I. Elfemov1.5711211752LAug 16 · 16:25V. Husiev3.75711411102A. Lifanov1.25112116123LAug 16 · 14:55V. Husiev1.83991113122R. Serhyenko1.831111711143WAug 16 · 13:25V. Husiev2.00101111113Y. Bielokon1.73124751LJul 12 · 17:35V. Husiev2.50116131172V. Hainiuk1.50511157113WJul 12 · 16:35V. Husiev1.83119117143R. Serhyenko1.83511511122LJul 12 · 15:05V. Husiev2.1071080Y. Bielokon1.671112113LJul 12 · 13:05V. Husiev1.91411871V. Sydorenko1.8011911113LJul 9 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.5311117113V. Husiev2.38771131
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