TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12107706
Played Jun 26Finished
Marcel Proksa
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811119118––
Jiri Motak
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarcel Proksa above · Jiri Motak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8
76 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Proksa 3–1 Jiri Motak Jiri Motak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Proksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Proksa form (60%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProksa 1.38 / Motak 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Proksa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12107706
Proksa1.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Motak2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeProksa3wins
AwayMotak1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderProksa leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Proksa2Motak2n = 4split evenly
S2Proksa3Motak1n = 4Proksa took 3 of 4
S3Proksa1Motak3n = 4Motak took 3 of 4
S4Proksa1Motak2n = 3Motak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricProksaMotakP − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.837.2+2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProksaMotakBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 66 vs 122 / 28647%42.7%31 / 66 vs 122 / 286Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProksaProksa 1.38/Motak 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Proksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Proksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 31 · 16:00M. Proksa—111168113J. Motak—49111152
WDec 12 · 19:00M. Proksa—1111610113J. Motak—66111292
WDec 11 · 07:30M. Proksa—61111113J. Motak—116691
LNov 16 · 20:30M. Proksa—9780J. Motak—1111113
M. Proksa10
LJun 26 · 16:30I. Palmi1.67111213113M. Proksa2.108101561LJun 26 · 15:30M. Proksa1.8311186682M. Derco1.839161111113WJun 26 · 14:30J. Motak2.3857150M. Proksa1.531111173LMay 31 · 17:29J. Foltynek1.671111113M. Proksa2.107570WMay 31 · 16:00J. Motak2.2049111152M. Proksa1.61111168113WMay 31 · 15:00P. Romba2.259580M. Proksa1.571111113LMay 31 · 14:30M. Proksa1.739850J. Foltynek2.001111113LApr 19 · 08:59T. Vantuch1.5011611113M. Proksa2.50711711LApr 19 · 08:30M. Proksa2.008950T. Vantuch1.731111113LApr 19 · 07:00M. Proksa2.004460M. Stolba1.731111113
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192WSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 26 · 14:30J. Motak2.3857150M. Proksa1.531111173LMay 31 · 16:00J. Motak2.2049111152M. Proksa1.61111168113
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