TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12100190
Played Jun 26Finished
Jiri Motak
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111517––––
Marcel Proksa
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJiri Motak above · Marcel Proksa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Point 66 set 3, 15-17
66 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Motak 1–3 Marcel Proksa Jiri Motak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Proksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Proksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMotak 2.38 / Proksa 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Proksa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12100190
Motak2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Proksa1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMotak1wins
AwayProksa3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderProksa leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Motak2Proksa2n = 4split evenly
S2Motak1Proksa3n = 4Proksa took 3 of 4
S3Motak3Proksa1n = 4Motak took 3 of 4
S4Motak2Proksa1n = 3Motak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMotakProksaM − PBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.239.8−2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMotakProksaBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 284 vs 30 / 6443%46.9%122 / 284 vs 30 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProksaMotak 2.38/Proksa 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Proksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Proksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 31 · 16:00J. Motak—49111152M. Proksa—111168113
LDec 12 · 19:00J. Motak—66111292M. Proksa—1111610113
LDec 11 · 07:30J. Motak—116691M. Proksa—61111113
WNov 16 · 20:30J. Motak—1111113M. Proksa—9780
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192WSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113
M. Proksa10
WJun 26 · 17:00M. Proksa1.3811811113J. Motak2.80711981LJun 26 · 16:30I. Palmi1.67111213113M. Proksa2.108101561LJun 26 · 15:30M. Proksa1.8311186682M. Derco1.839161111113LMay 31 · 17:29J. Foltynek1.671111113M. Proksa2.107570WMay 31 · 16:00J. Motak2.2049111152M. Proksa1.61111168113WMay 31 · 15:00P. Romba2.259580M. Proksa1.571111113LMay 31 · 14:30M. Proksa1.739850J. Foltynek2.001111113LApr 19 · 08:59T. Vantuch1.5011611113M. Proksa2.50711711LApr 19 · 08:30M. Proksa2.008950T. Vantuch1.731111113LApr 19 · 07:00M. Proksa2.004460M. Stolba1.731111113
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