TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11966877
Played May 31Finished
Jiri Motak
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411911116118511
Marcel Proksa
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingJiri Motak above · Marcel Proksa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11
87 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Motak 1–2 Marcel Proksa Jiri Motak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Proksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Proksa form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMotak 2.20 / Proksa 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Proksa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11966877
Motak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 10 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Proksa1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 7 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMotak1wins
AwayProksa2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderProksa leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Motak2Proksa1n = 3Motak took 2 of 3
S2Motak1Proksa2n = 3Proksa took 2 of 3
S3Motak2Proksa1n = 3Motak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMotakProksaM − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.337.3−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMotakProksaBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 272 vs 28 / 6042.7%46.7%116 / 272 vs 28 / 60Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProksaMotak 2.20/Proksa 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Proksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Proksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LDec 12 · 19:00J. Motak—2M. Proksa—3
LDec 11 · 07:30J. Motak—1M. Proksa—3
WNov 16 · 20:30J. Motak—3M. Proksa—0
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192WSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113
M. Proksa10
WJun 26 · 17:00M. Proksa1.3811811113J. Motak2.80711981LJun 26 · 16:30I. Palmi1.67111213113M. Proksa2.108101561LJun 26 · 15:30M. Proksa1.8311186682M. Derco1.839161111113WJun 26 · 14:30J. Motak2.3857150M. Proksa1.531111173LMay 31 · 17:29J. Foltynek1.671111113M. Proksa2.107570WMay 31 · 15:00P. Romba2.259580M. Proksa1.571111113LMay 31 · 14:30M. Proksa1.739850J. Foltynek2.001111113LApr 19 · 08:59T. Vantuch1.5011611113M. Proksa2.50711711LApr 19 · 08:30M. Proksa2.008950T. Vantuch1.731111113LApr 19 · 07:00M. Proksa2.004460M. Stolba1.731111113
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