TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Benes vs Miroslav Horejsi 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played May 26Finished
Michal Benes
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111131191210––
Miroslav Horejsi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMichal Benes above · Miroslav Horejsi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Benes 0–1 Miroslav Horejsi Michal Benes has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horejsi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 2.20 / Horejsi 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Horejsi)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11941664
Benes2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Horejsi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBenes0wins
AwayHorejsi1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHorejsi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBenesHorejsiB − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.044.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesHorejsiBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 347 vs 22 / 3649.3%61.1%171 / 347 vs 22 / 36Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorejsiBenes 2.20/Horejsi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.7%
Horejsi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 26 · 07:15M. Benes—2M. Horejsi—3
M. Benes10
WSep 9 · 19:40A. Daniel2.388360M. Benes1.531111113LSep 9 · 18:50J. Chmielowski4.33761211113M. Benes1.20111110792WSep 9 · 18:05M. Benes1.221111113J. Krawczyk4.009360LSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:45M. Olbrycht5.005850M. Benes1.141111113WSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113WSep 9 · 13:25M. Benes1.411115113K. Wisniewski2.6061330LSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152WSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123WSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113
M. Horejsi10
LMay 27 · 15:10M. Horejsi2.1066111192P. Cyrnek1.67111177113WMay 27 · 13:40A. Wiecek2.2511711592M. Horejsi1.57911711113WMay 27 · 12:50P. Klos2.20611111392M. Horejsi1.61118415113LMay 27 · 12:00M. Horejsi1.678980K. Petas2.101111113LMay 27 · 10:45M. Horejsi1.67711101192A. Abbasi2.10117122113LMay 27 · 09:10P. Cyrnek1.8011117113M. Horejsi1.91531191LMay 27 · 08:25A. Abbasi2.10411118113M. Horejsi1.6711771172WMay 27 · 06:15P. Klos2.201051181M. Horejsi1.6112119113WMay 27 · 05:25M. Jadczyk1.83331141M. Horejsi1.8311119113LMay 27 · 04:00A. Wiecek2.001114113M. Horejsi1.7361260
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