TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Olbrycht vs Simon Belik 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played May 20Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119611611116116
Simon Belik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Simon Belik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6
88 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Olbrycht)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 1.61 / Belik 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Olbrycht)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11913310
Olbrycht1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 117 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 84 of 104
Belik2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog13% won 13 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back6% 4 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtBelikBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 1005 vs 103 / 39543.6%26.1%438 / 1005 vs 103 / 395Avg sets wonper match1.81.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.232.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 1.61/Belik 2.20
Hit
What we said
64.7%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Olbrycht won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 17 · 13:50K. Kapik1.8088110M. Olbrycht1.851111133LSep 17 · 13:00M. Rutkowski1.6311911113M. Olbrycht2.05211971WSep 17 · 12:10M. Olbrycht1.98137117113G. Poliniewicz1.68111191162LSep 17 · 10:30M. Olbrycht1.99136561P. Jendrzejewski1.68111111113LSep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo2.25811128113M. Olbrycht1.57119101182WSep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.83911891M. Olbrycht1.8711811113LSep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht1.99671171P. Jendrzejewski1.6811118113WSep 17 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.708880M. Olbrycht2.001111113LSep 17 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.4011911123M. Olbrycht2.608119101WSep 17 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9711116972M. Olbrycht1.69881111113
S. Belik10
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Belik—611771A. Khanin—11511113LAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Zatowka—11118123S. Belik—7911101LMay 20 · 14:00D. Kostal1.44111110113S. Belik2.63841281WMay 20 · 13:10M. Olbrycht1.5341113111S. Belik2.3811815133LMay 20 · 12:20S. Belik2.75713100A. Daniel1.401115123WMay 20 · 10:40S. Belik3.2531111113M. Nowalinski1.33114871LMay 20 · 09:55S. Sporek1.3611114113S. Belik3.00771151LMay 20 · 08:45D. Kostal1.571111113S. Belik2.257590LMay 20 · 07:35S. Belik3.2531070K. Wloczko1.331112113
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