TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Longin vs Jaroslav Novotny 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Apr 13Finished
Milan Longin
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118411118117––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMilan Longin above · Jaroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7
71 points played in total.
H2H Milan Longin 4–4 Jaroslav Novotny Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLongin 2.00 / Novotny 1.727
Czech Liga Pro · #11736563
The market does not separate these two
2.00 against 1.73: a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here: the price is the datum.
Longin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Novotny1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLongin4wins
AwayNovotny4wins
Level at 4–4.
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Longin4Novotny4n = 8split evenly
S2Longin4Novotny4n = 8split evenly
S3Longin5Novotny3n = 8Longin took 5 of 8
S4Longin5Novotny2n = 7Longin took 5 of 7
S5Longin2Novotny4n = 6Novotny took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricLonginNovotnyL − NBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match44.043.2+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLonginNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 483 vs 99 / 20648.9%48.1%236 / 483 vs 99 / 206Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyLongin 2.00/Novotny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Longin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
W—M. Longin—3J. Novotny—1
W—M. Longin—3J. Novotny—2
L—M. Longin—3J. Novotny—2
L—M. Longin—3J. Novotny—2
W—M. Longin—3J. Novotny—2
W—M. Longin—0J. Novotny—3
L—M. Longin—3J. Novotny—2
L—M. Longin—2J. Novotny—3
M. Longin10
WApr 23 · 13:00M. Fisera1.508790M. Longin2.501111113LApr 23 · 12:30M. Longin1.67117651R. Hasmanda2.1041111113LApr 23 · 11:00M. Longin2.104680M. Fisera1.671111113LApr 23 · 10:00M. Smrcek1.25119116113M. Longin3.7551151172WApr 21 · 13:00M. Longin1.91141111113M. Stefek1.80168641LApr 21 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.201113123M. Longin1.61611100WApr 21 · 11:30M. Longin2.00811119113M. Stefek1.7311841172LApr 21 · 10:30M. Fisera1.83114311113M. Longin1.8371111672WApr 19 · 17:29L. Sulava1.911112121142M. Longin1.801310147113WApr 19 · 16:00D. Barton1.44981191M. Longin2.6311117113
J. Novotny10
LSep 28 · 12:58V. Kosar1.73131611113J. Novotny2.001118991LSep 28 · 12:30J. Novotny1.73331141V. Kosar2.0011117113LSep 28 · 11:00J. Novotny2.1011921182A. Svoboda1.67711116113LSep 28 · 10:00L. Malek1.8312117113J. Novotny1.831041161LSep 13 · 17:29J. Novotny1.338101171L. Sulava3.2511124113WSep 13 · 16:00J. Novotny1.91111158113M. Ulrych1.8099111122WSep 13 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011412762J. Novotny1.619111011113WSep 13 · 14:00J. Novotny1.4041111113L. Havel2.75112631LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721
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