TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lubor Sulava vs Milan Longin 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Apr 19Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111312101214117411
Milan Longin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Milan Longin below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 105 set 5, 4-11
105 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 7–14 Milan Longin Lubor Sulava has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 1.909 / Longin 1.80
Czech Liga Pro · #11769748
The market does not separate these two
1.91 against 1.80: a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here: the price is the datum.
Sulava1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Longin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava5wins
AwayLongin5wins
Level at 5–5.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava5Longin5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulava6Longin4n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S3Sulava5Longin5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulava2Longin3n = 5Longin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaLonginS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.3−0.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaLonginBasisWin rate · lifetime605 / 1195 vs 240 / 48950.6%49.1%605 / 1195 vs 240 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LonginSulava 1.91/Longin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Longin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
L—L. Sulava—0M. Longin—3
W—L. Sulava—1M. Longin—3
L—L. Sulava—1M. Longin—3
L—L. Sulava—3M. Longin—2
L—L. Sulava—3M. Longin—0
W—L. Sulava—2M. Longin—3
W—L. Sulava—3M. Longin—0
W—L. Sulava—3M. Longin—0
L—L. Sulava—1M. Longin—3
W—L. Sulava—3M. Longin—0
L. Sulava10
WSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava2.25115119113J. Briska1.5761111192LSep 28 · 08:00V. Dolezal1.44811118113L. Sulava2.6311851182WSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113LSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113LSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113WSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 07:00V. Hruska Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113WSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080LSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851WSep 25 · 02:00L. Sulava2.0011119113A. Schneeberger1.73751131
M. Longin10
WApr 23 · 13:00M. Fisera1.508790M. Longin2.501111113LApr 23 · 12:30M. Longin1.67117651R. Hasmanda2.1041111113LApr 23 · 11:00M. Longin2.104680M. Fisera1.671111113LApr 23 · 10:00M. Smrcek1.25119116113M. Longin3.7551151172WApr 21 · 13:00M. Longin1.91141111113M. Stefek1.80168641LApr 21 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.201113123M. Longin1.61611100WApr 21 · 11:30M. Longin2.00811119113M. Stefek1.7311841172LApr 21 · 10:30M. Fisera1.83114311113M. Longin1.8371111672WApr 19 · 16:00D. Barton1.44981191M. Longin2.6311117113LApr 19 · 15:00L. Sulava2.00112611123M. Longin1.73511115102
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