TT Lossbeater/World Cup
Chuqin Wang vs Sora Matsushima 4-3 · World Cup
World Cup
Played Apr 5Finished
Chuqin Wang
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
4 – 3
Set by set
91118161181113811114118
Sora Matsushima
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingChuqin Wang above · Sora Matsushima below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 8-11
Set 6 · 11-4
Set 7 · 10-8
Point 149 set 7, 10-8
149 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Chuqin Wang 4–1 Sora Matsushima Sora Matsushima has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wang)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matsushima form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWang 1.28 / Matsushima 3.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Wang)-6.3pp (anti-value)
World Cup · #11701030
Wang1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Matsushima3.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWang4wins
AwayMatsushima1wins
Wang leads 4–1.
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wang4Matsushima1n = 5Wang took 4 of 5
S2Wang1Matsushima4n = 5Matsushima took 4 of 5
S3Wang4Matsushima1n = 5Wang took 4 of 5
S4Wang1Matsushima4n = 5Matsushima took 4 of 5
S5Wang4Matsushima0n = 4Wang took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricWangMatsushimaW − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match54.045.8+8.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWangMatsushimaBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 72 vs 50 / 7193.1%70.4%67 / 72 vs 50 / 71Avg sets wonper match3.42.6per matchAvg pointsper match45.940.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WangWang 1.28/Matsushima 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Wang · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–3
Wang won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
L—C. Wang—2S. Matsushima—3
W—C. Wang—4S. Matsushima—3
W—C. Wang—4S. Matsushima—1
W—C. Wang—1S. Matsushima—3
W—C. Wang—3S. Matsushima—2
C. Wang10
LJul 3 · 01:35C. Wang1.111121171A. Lind6.0013118113WJul 1 · 01:35C. Wang1.051111113M. Thakkar8.503590WJun 29 · 01:35C. Wang1.071115113Q. Zhou7.5061330WMay 10 · 15:30S. Matsushima4.331110291C. Wang1.2081211113WMay 9 · 20:20C. Wang1.1713911113F. Lebrun4.501111941WMay 9 · 18:50C. Wang1.061511911113F. Coton8.00131311482WMay 8 · 11:50C. Wang1.04111187113J. Oh9.0091111172WMay 6 · 10:45E. Ionescu8.50811341C. Wang1.0511811113WMay 6 · 09:35I. Chirita12.0051050C. Wang1.011112113WMay 5 · 09:15A. Sareen11.009120C. Wang1.021111113
S. Matsushima10
LSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima1.50912512112H. Calderano2.501110111434WSep 11 · 05:55S. Matsushima1.1111711143C. Wong6.008116121WSep 9 · 11:05S. Matsushima1.061112113T. Jarvis8.0041070LAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20Y. Feng7.50111141162S. Matsushima1.07135112113WAug 12 · 16:35S. Gnanasekaran9.00611651S. Matsushima1.0411811113LAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114LMay 10 · 15:30S. Matsushima4.331110291C. Wang1.2081211113
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