TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Vanek vs Radim Pavelka 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Apr 5Finished
Jaroslav Vanek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111012115118611
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Vanek above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8
73 points drawn · the score is 17 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jaroslav Vanek 2–1 Radim Pavelka Radim Pavelka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanek 1.57 / Pavelka 2.25
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vanek)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11698591
The market does not separate these two
1.57 against 2.25 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Vanek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Pavelka2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVanek2wins
AwayPavelka1wins
Vanek leads 2–1.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanek2Pavelka1n = 3Vanek took 2 of 3
S2Vanek1Pavelka2n = 3Pavelka took 2 of 3
S3Vanek2Pavelka1n = 3Vanek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVanekPavelkaV − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.730.3+6.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanekPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 69 vs 496 / 101349.3%49%34 / 69 vs 496 / 1013Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanekVanek 1.57/Pavelka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
W—J. Vanek—0R. Pavelka—3
W—J. Vanek—3R. Pavelka—1
L—J. Vanek—0R. Pavelka—3
J. Vanek10
LApr 18 · 13:01J. Vanek1.63961181L. Stacho2.1311118113WApr 18 · 12:30L. Stacho2.001110111082J. Vanek1.73712512113LApr 18 · 11:30J. Vanek1.736101151M. Vedmoch2.0011129113LApr 18 · 10:30J. Lauber2.50661211113J. Vanek1.50111110962LApr 12 · 13:00J. Vanek1.52158691B. Nguyen2.35131111113LApr 12 · 12:30J. Vanek2.001410571T. Barta1.73121211113WApr 12 · 11:00J. Vanek1.6751111113B. Nguyen2.10118951LApr 12 · 10:00F. Just1.5311711113J. Vanek2.38411831WApr 5 · 09:05J. Vanek1.7891111113J. Lauber1.92117341LApr 5 · 08:30J. Prokupek1.91611512113J. Vanek1.80118111082
R. Pavelka10
LSep 24 · 09:30R. Pavelka2.904480M. Sobisek1.351111113WSep 24 · 08:30M. Vedmoch2.207880R. Pavelka1.611111113WSep 24 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.101111113J. Stolfa1.675970LSep 24 · 06:30M. Sobisek1.401111113R. Pavelka2.756490WSep 23 · 09:30R. Pavelka1.531111123J. Plachy2.3894100WSep 23 · 08:30R. Pavelka1.61411139113J. Plachy2.20119111182LSep 23 · 07:00R. Pavelka1.83108111382P. Zmuda1.831211511113WSep 23 · 06:00M. Vedmoch1.91312421R. Pavelka1.80111011113LSep 20 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.651011711113R. Pavelka2.1012511482WSep 20 · 20:30P. Budinsky1.83118441R. Pavelka1.8351111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Vanek
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R. Pavelka
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