TT Lossbeater/World Cup Qualification
Benedikt Duda vs Thibault Poret 2-3 · World Cup Qualification
World Cup Qualification
Played Apr 1Finished
Benedikt Duda
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
––––––––––
Thibault Poret
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
H2H Benedikt Duda 1–0 Thibault Poret Thibault Poret has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Duda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poret form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuda 1.40 / Poret 2.75
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Duda)-8.8pp (anti-value)
World Cup Qualification · #11670720
Duda1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Poret2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDuda1wins
AwayPoret0wins
Duda leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDudaPoretD − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.030.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDudaPoretBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 88 vs 25 / 4459.1%56.8%52 / 88 vs 25 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match42.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DudaDuda 1.40/Poret 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Duda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Poret won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—B. Duda—3T. Poret—1
B. Duda10
LSep 19 · 05:00Q. Zhou1.53101111113B. Duda2.38126641WSep 18 · 12:35E. Tikhonov3.7512971162B. Duda1.251011117113LSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113WSep 10 · 03:00G. Kuo1.675970B. Duda2.101111113LAug 11 · 10:35G. Kuo1.5711711113B. Duda2.25811741LAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 10:05B. Duda3.35611119113S. Togami1.2811761162WAug 4 · 02:00B. Duda4.00611119113S. Togami1.2211761162LJul 25 · 15:45J. Oh2.63157119113B. Duda1.44131151182WJul 24 · 16:20B. Chan3.75911991B. Duda1.2511711113
T. Poret10
LSep 18 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama2.2512511113T. Poret1.571011481LSep 12 · 09:45T. Poret2.2561111111K. Karlsson1.5711137133WSep 11 · 14:00T. Poret1.3681111113R. Walther3.00114441WSep 10 · 21:30T. Poret1.3581211113T. Apolonia2.801110471WSep 10 · 03:00T. Poret1.3681211113T. Apolonia3.001110471LAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111113T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592LJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113
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