Understanding Signal Analysis
Learn how our multi-signal consensus system reads matches and produces a Confirm or Contradict call versus the market.
How Our Signal System Works
Data Collection
We collect comprehensive data from thousands of table tennis matches, including player statistics, head-to-head records, recent form, and match conditions.
Signal Computation
Independent signals are computed per match: Glicko-2 ratings, Form L5/L10, Streak, H2H history, Market direction, Last Activity, Odds Role, and First Set patterns.
Consensus & League Portrait
Signals vote on every match. League Portrait tracks which signals are performing right now per league. The system produces a Confirm read (signals agree with the market favorite) or a Contradict read (signals back the underdog), with each tier's real, point-in-time record public on the Performance page.
Signal Display
Results are shown as signal consensus scores and a Confirm or Contradict tier, with the market price alongside for comparison.
Understanding Signal Scores
Key Signals in Our Analysis
Recent Form
Player win rates across multiple time windows (last 5, 10, 20, 50, 100 matches, last 6 months, all-time). Form L5 and Form L10 are dedicated signals in the multi-signal system.
Head-to-Head Records
Historical matchups between players reveal dominance patterns. H2H is one of the dedicated signals — activated when a player has 60%+ win rate across 3+ H2H matches.
Temporal Statistics
Performance across multiple time windows helps identify trends and form changes. Used by Form L5, Form L10, and Streak signals.
League Context
Different leagues have different patterns. League Portrait adapts to what is working right now in each specific league.
Accuracy & Limitations
Our Track Record
We publish the real, point-in-time record of every Confirm and Contradict call on the Performance page — wins and losses, no cherry-picking.
Important: No edge detection system wins every bet. Always use our analysis as a tool to inform your decisions, not as the sole basis for betting. Consider multiple factors and never bet more than you can afford to lose.