David Szotek vs Lukas Kern · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Starts Oct 13, 16:30Scheduled

David Szotek

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

8 – 11

All 19 meetings · 42.1%

Last 10 · 4–6Same side

Lukas Kern

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzotek 2.20 / Kern 1.615

Round robin · match 6 of 6

0 of 6 played

A18 - Liga PRO · Group 9 of 22 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
=	David SzotekThis match	0–0	0–0	3
=	Frantisek Nadymacek	0–0	0–0	3
=	Lukas KernThis match	0–0	0–0	3
=	Michal Chalupa	0–0	0–0	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSzotek4wins

AwayKern6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKern leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSzotek50%3 of 6

AwayKern75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Szotek6Kern4n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10

S2Szotek5Kern5n = 10split evenly

S3Szotek5Kern5n = 10split evenly

S4Szotek3Kern4n = 7Kern took 4 of 7

S5Szotek1Kern3n = 4Kern took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSzotekKernS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.8−1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzotekKernBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 351 vs 149 / 29044.7%51.4%157 / 351 vs 149 / 290Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13284890

Szotek2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 11)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog43% won 57 of 133

Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 70

Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41

Kern1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 09)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite67% won 64 of 96

Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36

Up 1–0, closes it89% 47 of 53

David Szotek vs Lukas Kern · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 6 of 6

Round robin before this match

David Szotek vs Lukas Kern · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 6 of 6

Round robin before this match