TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Kern vs Roman Hudeczek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411511––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched: 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Roman Hudeczek @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingLukas Kern above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 47 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Roman Hudeczek at 61.3%
47 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kern 10–17 Roman Hudeczek Lukas Kern has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:1961.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 0.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Hudeczek
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kern 1627 vs Hudeczek 1760
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kern 80% vs Hudeczek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kern 60% vs Hudeczek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kern +4 · Hudeczek -1
Kern
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Hudeczek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 2.20 / Hudeczek 1.615
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hudeczek)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13254117
Kern2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 40 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Hudeczek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 67 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKern3wins
AwayHudeczek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKern40%2 of 5
AwayHudeczek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kern5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kern3Hudeczek7n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S3Kern4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S4Kern2Hudeczek6n = 8Hudeczek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKernHudeczekK − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.438.8−4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 283 vs 195 / 38451.6%50.8%146 / 283 vs 195 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekKern 2.20/Hudeczek 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Roman Hudeczek @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
0–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 21:30L. Kern27116641R. Hudeczek3961111113
LSep 23 · 18:00L. Kern30117751R. Hudeczek3851111113
LSep 9 · 18:30L. Kern29881121R. Hudeczek4211119113
WSep 9 · 14:00L. Kern4111118113R. Hudeczek34871181
LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern2711790R. Hudeczek351311113
LSep 4 · 15:30L. Kern311011731R. Hudeczek4312911113
WAug 26 · 21:00L. Kern521261111123R. Hudeczek51141188102
LAug 26 · 20:00L. Kern34771191R. Hudeczek3711114113
WAug 16 · 12:00L. Kern341111123R. Hudeczek2486100
LJul 29 · 15:00L. Kern391181551R. Hudeczek4561117113
L. Kern10
WOct 7 · 20:30M. Chalupa1.735670L. Kern2.001111113WOct 7 · 18:30D. Szotek2.0091112962L. Kern1.731151011113WOct 2 · 21:30T. Kypr1.65811931L. Kern2.1011511113WOct 2 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73178111092L. Kern2.001511812113WOct 2 · 19:00M. Holub2.2591191152L. Kern1.57113116113LOct 2 · 18:30L. Kern2.38172161T. Kypr1.53111119113LSep 23 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.6561111113L. Kern2.10116641WSep 23 · 20:30L. Kern1.5711118113M. Holub2.25941191WSep 23 · 19:00L. Kern1.401111113Z. Pagac2.758980LSep 23 · 18:00R. Hudeczek1.7351111113L. Kern2.00117751
R. Hudeczek10
WOct 7 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.67115114113D. Szotek2.1041191122LOct 7 · 18:00R. Hudeczek2.258540M. Chalupa1.571111113WOct 1 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.73711114113M. Wollny2.0011871182WOct 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.91118100R. Hudeczek1.801311123WOct 1 · 19:00M. Chalupa1.83166841R. Hudeczek1.83141111113WOct 1 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.5711511153D. Szotek2.255119131WSep 30 · 20:58R. Hudeczek2.38411511123M. Wollny1.53117118102WSep 30 · 20:00M. Wollny1.529580R. Hudeczek2.351111113WSep 23 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.6561111113L. Kern2.10116641WSep 23 · 18:00R. Hudeczek1.7351111113L. Kern2.00117751
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