TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Roman Hudeczek vs David Szotek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1155111191513––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 80 set 4, 15-13 · our read held Roman Hudeczek at 59.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 9–8 David Szotek David Szotek has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2059.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1739 vs Szotek 1685
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 60% vs Szotek 100%
Szotek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 70% vs Szotek 90%
Szotek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek +2 · Szotek +8
Szotek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Hudeczek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.571 / Szotek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hudeczek)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222573
Hudeczek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 45 of 60
Szotek2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek5wins
AwaySzotek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek80%4 of 5
AwaySzotek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek5Szotek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hudeczek5Szotek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hudeczek5Szotek5n = 10split evenly
S4Hudeczek3Szotek1n = 4Hudeczek took 3 of 4
S5Hudeczek1Szotek2n = 3Szotek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekSzotekH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.334.3+2.0per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 379 vs 153 / 34650.4%44.2%191 / 379 vs 153 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.57/Szotek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 19:00R. Hudeczek45111261062D. Szotek484101112113
WSep 24 · 18:30R. Hudeczek331111113D. Szotek178270
WSep 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek331111113D. Szotek229580
WSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek371115113D. Szotek2681350
WSep 9 · 19:00R. Hudeczek4111711123D. Szotek345118101
LSep 9 · 17:15R. Hudeczek3099120D. Szotek361111143
WSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek549121111113D. Szotek4111145472
LSep 7 · 20:00R. Hudeczek50711121192D. Szotek51117148113
LAug 25 · 19:30R. Hudeczek217860D. Szotek331111113
LAug 24 · 15:00R. Hudeczek1911350D. Szotek351311113
R. Hudeczek10
WOct 1 · 19:00M. Chalupa1.83166841R. Hudeczek1.83141111113WSep 30 · 20:58R. Hudeczek2.38411511123M. Wollny1.53117118102WSep 30 · 20:00M. Wollny1.529580R. Hudeczek2.351111113LSep 30 · 19:00D. Szotek2.204101112113R. Hudeczek1.61111261062LSep 30 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.911110891M. Chalupa1.8091211113WSep 24 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.85111111113M. Chalupa1.85241381LSep 24 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.8311141013113R. Hudeczek1.83912121582WSep 24 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.204760R. Hudeczek1.611111113WSep 24 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.831111113D. Szotek1.838270WSep 23 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.6561111113L. Kern2.10116641
D. Szotek10
WSep 30 · 21:28D. Szotek1.801111113M. Chalupa1.913980WSep 30 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10111311113M. Chalupa1.67515951WSep 30 · 19:00D. Szotek2.204101112113R. Hudeczek1.61111261062WSep 30 · 18:00M. Wollny1.536511101D. Szotek2.3811119123WSep 28 · 21:30D. Szotek1.67111112113M. Holub2.109131081WSep 28 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.44911531D. Szotek2.6311911113WSep 28 · 19:00M. Holub2.001316681D. Szotek1.73151411113WSep 28 · 18:30D. Szotek2.251113115123T. Kypr1.57715811102LSep 27 · 16:59D. Szotek1.91881141T. Kypr1.8011119113LSep 24 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.831111113D. Szotek1.838270
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