TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Szotek vs Roman Hudeczek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711511––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched: 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Szotek above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Roman Hudeczek at 64.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H David Szotek 8–11 Roman Hudeczek David Szotek has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:0364.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Hudeczek
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotek 1637 vs Hudeczek 1792
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotek 0% vs Hudeczek 80%
Hudeczek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotek 30% vs Hudeczek 90%
Hudeczek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotek -5 · Hudeczek +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Hudeczek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotek 2.375 / Hudeczek 1.533
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Hudeczek)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264571
Szotek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Hudeczek1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 68 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 49 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotek3wins
AwayHudeczek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotek66.7%2 of 3
AwayHudeczek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotek3Hudeczek7n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S2Szotek5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S3Szotek3Hudeczek7n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S4Szotek2Hudeczek4n = 6Hudeczek took 4 of 6
S5Szotek2Hudeczek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotekHudeczekS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.7−5.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotekHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 351 vs 199 / 38844.4%51.3%156 / 351 vs 199 / 388Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekSzotek 2.38/Hudeczek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 20:00D. Szotek3741191122R. Hudeczek42115114113
LOct 1 · 18:30D. Szotek385119131R. Hudeczek4211511153
WSep 30 · 19:00D. Szotek484101112113R. Hudeczek45111261062
LSep 24 · 18:30D. Szotek178270R. Hudeczek331111113
LSep 21 · 19:00D. Szotek229580R. Hudeczek331111113
LSep 13 · 14:30D. Szotek2681350R. Hudeczek371115113
LSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek345118101R. Hudeczek4111711123
WSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek361111143R. Hudeczek3099120
LSep 9 · 16:00D. Szotek4111145472R. Hudeczek549121111113
WSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek51117148113R. Hudeczek50711121192
D. Szotek10
WOct 9 · 20:30L. Kern1.678870D. Szotek2.101111113LOct 9 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.831171013153D. Szotek1.834111211132LOct 7 · 20:58L. Kern1.73911411113D. Szotek2.0011611382LOct 7 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.67115114113D. Szotek2.1041191122LOct 7 · 19:00M. Chalupa1.8312155123D. Szotek1.83101311101LOct 7 · 18:30D. Szotek2.0091112962L. Kern1.731151011113WOct 6 · 21:00D. Szotek1.831411113Z. Pagac1.8312680WOct 6 · 20:00D. Szotek1.83771111113M. Chalupa1.8311119992LOct 6 · 19:30M. Holub2.101391311113D. Szotek1.67111115762LOct 6 · 18:00D. Szotek1.83711115102Z. Pagac1.83115911123
R. Hudeczek10
LOct 9 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.83131171162M. Chalupa1.83156118113WOct 9 · 18:00R. Hudeczek1.53101111113L. Kern2.38127351WOct 7 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.85113941R. Hudeczek1.85111111113WOct 7 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.67115114113D. Szotek2.1041191122WOct 7 · 19:30L. Kern2.205450R. Hudeczek1.611111113LOct 7 · 18:00R. Hudeczek2.258540M. Chalupa1.571111113WOct 1 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.73711114113M. Wollny2.0011871182WOct 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.91118100R. Hudeczek1.801311123WOct 1 · 19:00M. Chalupa1.83166841R. Hudeczek1.83141111113WOct 1 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.5711511153D. Szotek2.255119131
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