Petr Vanek vs Michal Brozek 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 6 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Petr Vanek

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

8116111113––––

Michal Brozek

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Michal Brozek to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPetr Vanek above · Michal Brozek below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 60 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Michal Brozek at 54.0%

60 points played in total.

H2H Petr Vanek 10–16 Michal Brozek Petr Vanek has won 10 of their 26 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brozek

Vanek 1.80/Brozek 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Brozek · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Brozek won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:16

54.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909

clears by 1.6pp

52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Vanek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

10-16 in 26

Brozek

Correct

gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vanek 1649 vs Brozek 1611

Vanek

Wrong

both rated, 38 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vanek 20% vs Brozek 40%

Brozek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vanek 30% vs Brozek 30%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vanek -2 · Brozek -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Brozek: form 40%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVanek 1.80 / Brozek 1.909

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Brozek)+1.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVanek6wins

AwayBrozek4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderVanek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVanek80%4 of 5

AwayBrozek60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vanek5Brozek5n = 10split evenly

S2Vanek5Brozek5n = 10split evenly

S3Vanek6Brozek4n = 10Vanek took 6 of 10

S4Vanek3Brozek3n = 6split evenly

S5Vanek3Brozek2n = 5Vanek took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricVanekBrozekV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.137.8+1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVanekBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 310 vs 518 / 99851.9%51.9%161 / 310 vs 518 / 998Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match

TT Cup · #13283725

Vanek1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite57% won 43 of 76

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39

Brozek1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 68 of 171

Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44

Petr Vanek vs Michal Brozek 0-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Petr Vanek vs Michal Brozek 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.