Petr Chlumsky vs Jan Vonasek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 4 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Petr Chlumsky

Home

3.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

411119811811––

Jan Vonasek

Away

1.36

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched: 73.2% is still 73.2%

Graded at full time

Jan Vonasek to win

73.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Jan Vonasek below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 73 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Jan Vonasek at 73.2%

73 points played in total.

H2H Petr Chlumsky 5–13 Jan Vonasek Petr Chlumsky has won 5 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vonasek

Chlumsky 3.00/Vonasek 1.36

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

73.2%

Vonasek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Vonasek won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:51

73.2%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363

short by 0.2pp

73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Vonasek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-13 in 18

Vonasek

Correct

gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Chlumsky 1467 vs Vonasek 1621

Vonasek

Correct

both rated, 155 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chlumsky 20% vs Vonasek 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chlumsky 40% vs Vonasek 60%

Vonasek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Chlumsky -3 · Vonasek +1

Chlumsky

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Vonasek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vonasek: form 20%, the price implies 73%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChlumsky 3.00 / Vonasek 1.363

Signal prob.27% / 73%

Edge (Vonasek)-0.2pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChlumsky2wins

AwayVonasek8wins

Vonasek leads 8–2.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChlumsky66.7%2 of 3

AwayVonasek100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chlumsky3Vonasek7n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10

S2Chlumsky3Vonasek7n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10

S3Chlumsky3Vonasek7n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10

S4Chlumsky1Vonasek4n = 5Vonasek took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricChlumskyVonasekC − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.734.5−7.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChlumskyVonasekBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 309 vs 368 / 72945%50.5%139 / 309 vs 368 / 729Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.4per match

TT Cup · #13282086

Chlumsky3.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog41% won 9 of 22

Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6

Vonasek1.36

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite65% won 83 of 128

Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46

Up 1–0, closes it83% 60 of 72

Petr Chlumsky vs Jan Vonasek 1-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Petr Chlumsky vs Jan Vonasek 1-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.