TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Duch vs Anton Veliiev 0-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 5 – Poland 4 · Kielce
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611511––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:30 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
511611511––––
H2H Adam Duch 13–7 Anton Veliiev Anton Veliiev has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:3054.3%Our read56.8%to break even at 1.76
short by 2.5pp56.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.76 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Duch
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-7 in 20
Duch
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1679 vs Veliiev 1645
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 40% vs Veliiev 100%
Veliiev
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 50% vs Veliiev 70%
Veliiev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch +1 · Veliiev +5
Veliiev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Duch) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.76 / Veliiev 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Duch)-2.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13277744
Duch1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 116 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it77% 86 of 112
Veliiev1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch9wins
AwayVeliiev1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch100%6 of 6
AwayVeliiev25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch6Veliiev4n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S2Duch9Veliiev1n = 10Duch took 9 of 10
S3Duch5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S4Duch5Veliiev2n = 7Duch took 5 of 7
S5Duch4Veliiev1n = 5Duch took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchVeliievD − VBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.634.2+7.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 746 vs 162 / 28259.8%57.5%446 / 746 vs 162 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.76/Veliiev 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 10 · 20:35A. Duch43712311102A. Veliiev501110116123
WOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch529101111113A. Veliiev4011124672
WOct 8 · 20:30A. Duch4211119113A. Veliiev30681151
WOct 1 · 17:00A. Duch45111184113A. Veliiev4789111182
WApr 11 · 19:05A. Duch474111011113A. Veliiev4711712982
WApr 10 · 22:30A. Duch331111113A. Veliiev134540
WApr 10 · 18:00A. Duch331111113A. Veliiev196580
WApr 9 · 18:30A. Duch46911114113A. Veliiev3711441172
WMar 21 · 13:35A. Duch4211116143A. Veliiev368511121
WMar 20 · 19:30A. Duch331111113A. Veliiev238690
A. Duch10
LOct 11 · 08:05K. Guzy2.3711147113A. Duch1.526121171WOct 10 · 22:45A. Duch—1111113K. Zapala—7670LOct 10 · 22:05D. Bucko2.10118118113A. Duch1.6081161192LOct 10 · 20:35A. Duch1.56712311102A. Veliiev2.291110116123WOct 10 · 18:35K. Zapala3.201091191A. Duch1.3112112113LOct 10 · 16:05K. Guzy2.0512815113A. Duch1.7010111391WOct 10 · 15:35P. Odelski2.101011101232A. Duch1.601241210113LOct 9 · 22:40A. Duch1.411119612132K. Zapala2.756171114153WOct 9 · 20:00A. Duch1.661111123K. Guzy2.1045100WOct 9 · 18:30A. Duch1.42111110123K. Zapala2.656912101
A. Veliiev10
WOct 11 · 06:05D. Bucko1.8613731362A. Veliiev1.8011111111113WOct 10 · 23:45D. Bucko1.684940A. Veliiev2.051111113WOct 10 · 21:35K. Zapala2.406911131A. Veliiev1.5111118153WOct 10 · 20:35A. Duch1.56712311102A. Veliiev2.291110116123WOct 10 · 19:05P. Odelski1.9511127292A. Veliiev1.755101111113LOct 10 · 16:35D. Bucko1.95101115113A. Veliiev1.761251391WOct 10 · 15:05K. Guzy2.10911110A. Veliiev1.601113133LOct 9 · 22:10K. Guzy2.20111411113A. Veliiev1.60516571LOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191WOct 9 · 19:30B. Gola3.306170A. Veliiev1.301111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Duch
A. Veliiev
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