TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Karol Guzy vs Anton Veliiev 0-3 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 2 · Kielce
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91111131113––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched: 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
91111131113––––
H2H Karol Guzy 13–22 Anton Veliiev Karol Guzy has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5355.0%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 7.5pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-22 in 35
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1597 vs Veliiev 1578
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Veliiev 40%
Guzy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 50% vs Veliiev 30%
Guzy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +1 · Veliiev -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Veliiev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 2.10 / Veliiev 1.60
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Veliiev)-7.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13273923
Guzy2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog54% won 56 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back38% 17 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Veliiev1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy4wins
AwayVeliiev6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeliiev leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy50%3 of 6
AwayVeliiev75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy6Veliiev4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Guzy4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S3Guzy5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S4Guzy3Veliiev4n = 7Veliiev took 4 of 7
S5Guzy1Veliiev2n = 3Veliiev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyVeliievG − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.936.8+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime641 / 1075 vs 156 / 27559.6%56.7%641 / 1075 vs 156 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievGuzy 2.10/Veliiev 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 22:10K. Guzy47111411113A. Veliiev33516571
WOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy331111113A. Veliiev193880
LOct 4 · 10:35K. Guzy391199101A. Veliiev3731111123
LOct 3 · 15:35K. Guzy227960A. Veliiev331111113
LOct 2 · 19:30K. Guzy4311119482A. Veliiev47951111113
LOct 1 · 20:00K. Guzy48117811112A. Veliiev49711117133
LJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy4591111141A. Veliiev4811138163
WJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy46751112113A. Veliiev44111181042
WJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy331111113A. Veliiev176560
LJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy331011661A. Veliiev4112711113
K. Guzy10
WOct 10 · 16:05K. Guzy2.0512815113A. Duch1.7010111391WOct 9 · 22:10K. Guzy2.20111411113A. Veliiev1.60516571LOct 9 · 20:00A. Duch1.661111123K. Guzy2.1045100WOct 9 · 19:00K. Guzy1.5811119113L. Buklat2.25271181WOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy2.451111113A. Veliiev1.493880LOct 9 · 16:30K. Guzy1.53118211102K. Zapala2.35411119123WOct 9 · 14:30K. Guzy1.691111113B. Gola2.066330LOct 4 · 13:45K. Guzy1.421112571P. Kos2.7081411113LOct 4 · 12:35K. Guzy1.987820M. Szymanski1.731111113LOct 4 · 10:35A. Veliiev1.5031111123K. Guzy2.351199101
A. Veliiev10
LOct 9 · 22:10K. Guzy2.20111411113A. Veliiev1.60516571LOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191WOct 9 · 19:30B. Gola3.306170A. Veliiev1.301111113LOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy2.451111113A. Veliiev1.493880WOct 9 · 15:30L. Buklat2.05117111182A. Veliiev1.70131137113LOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch1.669101111113A. Veliiev2.1011124672WOct 8 · 21:40A. Veliiev—1113113P. Odelski—71180LOct 8 · 20:30A. Duch1.8511119113A. Veliiev1.85681151LOct 8 · 19:30B. Gola3.4011611113A. Veliiev1.28911851WOct 4 · 10:35A. Veliiev1.5031111123K. Guzy2.351199101
Upcoming Matches
K. Guzy
Nothing scheduled
A. Veliiev
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.