TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Damian Bucko vs Anton Veliiev 3-1 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 2 · Kielce
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121151513119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
10121151513119––
H2H Damian Bucko 12–6 Anton Veliiev Anton Veliiev has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:3454.0%Our read56.8%to break even at 1.76
short by 2.8pp56.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.76 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Veliiev
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Bucko
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1633 vs Veliiev 1593
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 40% vs Veliiev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 60% vs Veliiev 40%
Bucko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -3 · Veliiev +1
Bucko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Veliiev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.95 / Veliiev 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Veliiev)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13273547
Bucko1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 08)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 63 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back18% 7 of 38
Veliiev1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko8wins
AwayVeliiev2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko100%5 of 5
AwayVeliiev40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S2Bucko4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S3Bucko6Veliiev4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S4Bucko8Veliiev1n = 9Bucko took 8 of 9
S5Bucko4Veliiev1n = 5Bucko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoVeliievB − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.842.4+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 612 vs 157 / 27654.6%56.9%334 / 612 vs 157 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievBucko 1.95/Veliiev 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 18:00D. Bucko3711411113A. Veliiev32711861
WOct 4 · 14:15D. Bucko54961216113A. Veliiev541111101482
WOct 4 · 09:05D. Bucko521171211113A. Veliiev4361114392
WOct 3 · 21:05D. Bucko3811312123A. Veliiev3981110101
WOct 2 · 22:10D. Bucko4211119113A. Veliiev29741171
WOct 2 · 18:00D. Bucko541111911123A. Veliiev52139119102
LJun 6 · 15:05D. Bucko4467111192A. Veliiev46111194113
WJun 4 · 20:00D. Bucko46913112113A. Veliiev501111111072
WApr 16 · 21:00D. Bucko341111123A. Veliiev2789100
LApr 14 · 21:00D. Bucko479161481A. Veliiev52111812113
D. Bucko10
WOct 10 · 17:05K. Zapala1.9191690D. Bucko1.801118113LOct 8 · 22:40D. Bucko2.2551090A. Duch1.571112113LOct 8 · 20:00P. Odelski2.00981212113D. Bucko1.711111101062LOct 8 · 19:00D. Bucko1.7811941192L. Buklat1.91911117113WOct 8 · 18:00D. Bucko1.8111411113A. Veliiev1.90711861WOct 8 · 16:30D. Bucko2.15111111113A. Duch1.63981391WOct 8 · 14:30D. Bucko1.421610911113B. Gola2.67141211552WOct 4 · 14:15D. Bucko2.05961216113A. Veliiev1.681111101482WOct 4 · 13:05D. Bucko1.4911126113P. Kos2.454101191LOct 4 · 11:05K. Zapala2.051111113D. Bucko1.685880
A. Veliiev10
WOct 10 · 15:05K. Guzy2.10911110A. Veliiev1.601113133LOct 9 · 22:10K. Guzy2.20111411113A. Veliiev1.60516571LOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191WOct 9 · 19:30B. Gola3.306170A. Veliiev1.301111113LOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy2.451111113A. Veliiev1.493880WOct 9 · 15:30L. Buklat2.05117111182A. Veliiev1.70131137113LOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch1.669101111113A. Veliiev2.1011124672WOct 8 · 21:40A. Veliiev—1113113P. Odelski—71180LOct 8 · 18:00D. Bucko1.8111411113A. Veliiev1.90711861LOct 4 · 14:15D. Bucko2.05961216113A. Veliiev1.681111101482
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.