TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Karol Guzy vs Anton Veliiev 3-1 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 3 · Kielce
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151416115117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1151416115117––
H2H Karol Guzy 12–22 Anton Veliiev Karol Guzy has won 12 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Guzy beat Veliiev 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 2.20 / Veliiev 1.60
TT Cup · #13271815
Guzy2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 54 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back39% 17 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Veliiev1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 44 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 35 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy4wins
AwayVeliiev6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeliiev leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy50%3 of 6
AwayVeliiev75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy6Veliiev4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Guzy5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S3Guzy5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S4Guzy2Veliiev4n = 6Veliiev took 4 of 6
S5Guzy1Veliiev2n = 3Veliiev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyVeliievG − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.5+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime640 / 1074 vs 156 / 27459.6%56.9%640 / 1074 vs 156 / 274Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievGuzy 2.20/Veliiev 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy331111113A. Veliiev193880
LOct 4 · 10:35K. Guzy391199101A. Veliiev3731111123
LOct 3 · 15:35K. Guzy227960A. Veliiev331111113
LOct 2 · 19:30K. Guzy4311119482A. Veliiev47951111113
LOct 1 · 20:00K. Guzy48117811112A. Veliiev49711117133
LJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy4591111141A. Veliiev4811138163
WJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy46751112113A. Veliiev44111181042
WJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy331111113A. Veliiev176560
LJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy331011661A. Veliiev4112711113
WJul 22 · 15:00K. Guzy361312113A. Veliiev30111090
K. Guzy10
LOct 9 · 20:00A. Duch1.661111123K. Guzy2.1045100WOct 9 · 19:00K. Guzy1.5811119113L. Buklat2.25271181WOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy2.451111113A. Veliiev1.493880LOct 9 · 16:30K. Guzy1.53118211102K. Zapala2.35411119123WOct 9 · 14:30K. Guzy1.691111113B. Gola2.066330LOct 4 · 13:45K. Guzy1.421112571P. Kos2.7081411113LOct 4 · 12:35K. Guzy1.987820M. Szymanski1.731111113LOct 4 · 10:35A. Veliiev1.5031111123K. Guzy2.351199101WOct 4 · 09:35K. Guzy1.651191011153P. Kos2.10911124132LOct 4 · 08:35K. Zapala2.4013134113K. Guzy1.5011111181
A. Veliiev10
LOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191WOct 9 · 19:30B. Gola3.306170A. Veliiev1.301111113LOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy2.451111113A. Veliiev1.493880WOct 9 · 15:30L. Buklat2.05117111182A. Veliiev1.70131137113LOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch1.669101111113A. Veliiev2.1011124672WOct 8 · 21:40A. Veliiev—1113113P. Odelski—71180LOct 8 · 20:30A. Duch1.8511119113A. Veliiev1.85681151LOct 8 · 19:30B. Gola3.4011611113A. Veliiev1.28911851LOct 8 · 18:00D. Bucko1.8111411113A. Veliiev1.90711861WOct 4 · 10:35A. Veliiev1.5031111123K. Guzy2.351199101
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