TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukasz Buklat vs Anton Veliiev 2-3 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 3 · Kielce
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113711113117811
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:23 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1113711113117811
H2H Lukasz Buklat 0–1 Anton Veliiev Lukasz Buklat has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2354.0%Our read58.8%to break even at 1.70
short by 4.8pp58.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.70 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1584 vs Veliiev 1598
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 60% vs Veliiev 20%
Buklat
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 50% vs Veliiev 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat -1 · Veliiev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Veliiev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 2.05 / Veliiev 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Veliiev)-4.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13266960
Buklat2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 26 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Veliiev1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 44 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 35 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBuklat0wins
AwayVeliiev1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVeliiev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBuklatVeliievB − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.050.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 448 vs 154 / 27060.3%57%270 / 448 vs 154 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievBuklat 2.05/Veliiev 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 8 · 15:30L. Buklat44115101172A. Veliiev50811128113
L. Buklat10
LOct 9 · 16:00K. Zapala—1011711173L. Buklat—128116152LOct 8 · 22:10L. Buklat1.63691611B. Gola2.15111114113WOct 8 · 21:00L. Buklat1.8513911123B. Gola1.8511117101WOct 8 · 19:00D. Bucko1.7811941192L. Buklat1.91911117113WOct 8 · 17:00P. Odelski1.861181171L. Buklat1.8361113113LOct 8 · 16:00A. Duch1.58111312133L. Buklat2.2571510111LOct 8 · 15:30L. Buklat2.25115101172A. Veliiev1.57811128113WSep 30 · 22:30P. Kedzierski2.75611591L. Buklat1.4111711113LSep 30 · 21:00L. Buklat1.616680K. Kos2.201111113LSep 30 · 19:00P. Kedzierski3.7011611113L. Buklat1.24511991
A. Veliiev10
LOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch1.669101111113A. Veliiev2.1011124672WOct 8 · 21:40A. Veliiev—1113113P. Odelski—71180LOct 8 · 20:30A. Duch1.8511119113A. Veliiev1.85681151LOct 8 · 19:30B. Gola3.4011611113A. Veliiev1.28911851LOct 8 · 18:00D. Bucko1.8111411113A. Veliiev1.90711861WOct 8 · 15:30L. Buklat2.25115101172A. Veliiev1.57811128113WOct 8 · 14:00P. Odelski2.051181191A. Veliiev1.7013113113LOct 4 · 14:15D. Bucko2.05961216113A. Veliiev1.681111101482LOct 4 · 12:05A. Veliiev2.52121114782K. Zapala1.471081611113WOct 4 · 10:35A. Veliiev1.5031111123K. Guzy2.351199101
Upcoming Matches
L. Buklat
A. Veliiev
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