TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Piotr Odelski vs Lukasz Buklat 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1168111113711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1168111113711––
H2H Piotr Odelski 5–2 Lukasz Buklat Lukasz Buklat has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:5754.0%Our read53.8%to break even at 1.86
clears by 0.2pp53.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.86 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Odelski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1594 vs Buklat 1565
Odelski
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 40% vs Buklat 20%
Odelski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 40% vs Buklat 60%
Buklat
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski -2 · Buklat -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Odelski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.86 / Buklat 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Odelski)+0.2pp
TT Cup · #13265371
Odelski1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 22 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Buklat1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 85 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it100% 44 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 64 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOdelski5wins
AwayBuklat2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderOdelski leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski100%3 of 3
AwayBuklat50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski3Buklat4n = 7Buklat took 4 of 7
S2Odelski4Buklat3n = 7Odelski took 4 of 7
S3Odelski5Buklat2n = 7Odelski took 5 of 7
S4Odelski2Buklat5n = 7Buklat took 5 of 7
S5Odelski3Buklat0n = 3Odelski took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricOdelskiBuklatO − BBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.440.4+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 109 vs 267 / 44458.7%60.1%64 / 109 vs 267 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.86/Buklat 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski4011711113L. Buklat31911831
WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski4411118143L. Buklat378611121
WAug 31 · 16:30P. Odelski49911117113L. Buklat4111561182
WAug 26 · 16:00P. Odelski53121578113L. Buklat521013111172
LAug 24 · 16:00P. Odelski31671171L. Buklat4011117113
WAug 17 · 20:00P. Odelski461011113113L. Buklat3812441172
LAug 15 · 21:35P. Odelski341061261L. Buklat44121110113
P. Odelski10
WOct 8 · 18:30P. Odelski1.9111118113A. Duch1.80681181LOct 8 · 15:00P. Odelski1.547690B. Gola2.251111113LOct 8 · 14:00P. Odelski2.051181191A. Veliiev1.7013113113WOct 3 · 22:35K. Guzy—5560P. Odelski—1111113LOct 3 · 21:35P. Odelski1.498590P. Kos2.451111113WOct 3 · 19:35D. Bucko2.009111161P. Odelski1.7211138113LOct 3 · 18:35P. Odelski2.059111011102K. Guzy1.66116129123WOct 3 · 17:35A. Veliiev1.54118991P. Odelski2.2591111113LOct 3 · 16:05P. Odelski1.89811761M. Szymanski1.8211611113LOct 1 · 22:40P. Odelski2.056770K. Guzy1.701111113
L. Buklat10
LOct 8 · 16:00A. Duch1.58111312133L. Buklat2.2571510111LOct 8 · 15:30L. Buklat2.25115101172A. Veliiev1.57811128113WSep 30 · 22:30P. Kedzierski2.75611591L. Buklat1.4111711113LSep 30 · 21:00L. Buklat1.616680K. Kos2.201111113LSep 30 · 19:00P. Kedzierski3.7011611113L. Buklat1.24511991WSep 30 · 17:00K. Patryk2.2591212892L. Buklat1.5811101011113WSep 30 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz2.109101161L. Buklat1.6511125113WSep 30 · 15:30L. Buklat1.3011111013113D. Kovtanyuk3.2553121582WSep 28 · 22:40K. Patryk2.1011101241L. Buklat1.6581214113WSep 28 · 20:30L. Buklat1.901161011113W. Arkadiusz1.8041112692
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