TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Krzysztof Zapala vs Anton Veliiev 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 2 · Kielce
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111181315––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched: 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111181315––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 8–8 Anton Veliiev Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:2961.9%Our read66.2%to break even at 1.51
short by 4.3pp66.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.51 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1611 vs Veliiev 1606
Zapala
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 40% vs Veliiev 60%
Veliiev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 60% vs Veliiev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -2 · Veliiev +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Veliiev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.40 / Veliiev 1.51
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Veliiev)-4.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13276717
Zapala2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 80 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Veliiev1.51
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala5wins
AwayVeliiev5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapalan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala2Veliiev8n = 10Veliiev took 8 of 10
S2Zapala5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S3Zapala5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S4Zapala4Veliiev3n = 7Zapala took 4 of 7
S5Zapala3Veliiev1n = 4Zapala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaVeliievZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.6−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 788 vs 159 / 27945.2%57%356 / 788 vs 159 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievZapala 2.40/Veliiev 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala4918119113A. Veliiev411651191
WOct 4 · 12:05K. Zapala561081611113A. Veliiev52121114782
WOct 2 · 20:30K. Zapala46211911133A. Veliiev44118113112
WOct 1 · 18:30K. Zapala521011134143A. Veliiev521261111122
WJun 7 · 13:05K. Zapala371112143A. Veliiev29710120
LJun 4 · 18:30K. Zapala377118111A. Veliiev4411911133
LApr 16 · 22:00K. Zapala377811111A. Veliiev4011115133
LApr 16 · 17:30K. Zapala2581160A. Veliiev351113113
LApr 15 · 18:30K. Zapala215880A. Veliiev331111113
LApr 14 · 17:30K. Zapala50136131172A. Veliiev561511118113
K. Zapala10
LOct 10 · 22:45A. Duch—1111113K. Zapala—7670LOct 10 · 19:35K. Guzy1.50111119113K. Zapala2.40592181LOct 10 · 18:35K. Zapala3.201091191A. Duch1.3112112113WOct 10 · 17:35P. Odelski1.60111312692K. Zapala2.105111411113LOct 10 · 17:05K. Zapala1.9191690D. Bucko1.801118113WOct 9 · 22:40A. Duch1.411119612132K. Zapala2.756171114153WOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191LOct 9 · 18:30A. Duch1.42111110123K. Zapala2.656912101WOct 9 · 17:30K. Zapala1.601113113B. Gola2.2031130WOct 9 · 16:30K. Guzy1.53118211102K. Zapala2.35411119123
A. Veliiev10
WOct 10 · 20:35A. Duch1.56712311102A. Veliiev2.291110116123WOct 10 · 19:05P. Odelski1.9511127292A. Veliiev1.755101111113LOct 10 · 16:35D. Bucko1.95101115113A. Veliiev1.761251391WOct 10 · 15:05K. Guzy2.10911110A. Veliiev1.601113133LOct 9 · 22:10K. Guzy2.20111411113A. Veliiev1.60516571LOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191WOct 9 · 19:30B. Gola3.306170A. Veliiev1.301111113LOct 9 · 18:00K. Guzy2.451111113A. Veliiev1.493880WOct 9 · 15:30L. Buklat2.05117111182A. Veliiev1.70131137113LOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch1.669101111113A. Veliiev2.1011124672
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