TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Marcin Lach · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Oct 11, 10:10Scheduled
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Head to head
1 – 1
All 2 meetings · 50.0%
Last 2 · 1–1
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.909 / Lach 1.80
TT Elite Series · #13275399
Polok1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 22 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Lach1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 127 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 94 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePolok1wins
AwayLach1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPolokLachP − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.537.0−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokLachBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 295 vs 166 / 26562.7%62.6%185 / 295 vs 166 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 26 · 13:05P. Polok3911611113M. Lach31711671
LSep 26 · 05:40P. Polok30381271M. Lach43111110113
P. Polok10
LOct 5 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.7511119113P. Polok1.90471161LOct 5 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.3611139143P. Polok2.9181111121LOct 5 · 13:55Y. Fomin2.301111113P. Polok1.527860LOct 5 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.811111113P. Polok1.909470LOct 5 · 11:30J. Pelka1.6711911123P. Polok2.108119101WOct 5 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.85119881P. Polok1.8571111113WOct 5 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.107940P. Polok1.301111113WOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin2.158460P. Polok1.601111113LOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 05:30G. Wichowski—12911133P. Polok—10119111
M. Lach10
WOct 10 · 13:55M. Lach1.281111113Z. Sobkow3.506960WOct 10 · 12:40M. Lach1.141111113I. Szymanski5.003370WOct 10 · 11:25M. Lach1.83151114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.831391661WOct 10 · 10:10J. Wieczerzak1.837613111M. Lach1.83111111133WOct 10 · 09:25M. Lach1.6711119113S. Szostok2.10281161WOct 10 · 07:45M. Lach1.441111123G. Sawicki2.6378100WOct 10 · 06:30M. Lach1.671111113J. Wieczerzak2.105590LOct 10 · 05:15M. Lach1.917711111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133WOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.509570M. Lach1.501111113LOct 10 · 03:25M. Lach1.8099111162S. Szostok1.91111142113
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
Oct 11 · 03:50P. Polok1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Oct 11 · 04:30P. Polok2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Oct 11 · 06:05P. Polok1.61D. Swider2.20—Oct 11 · 06:55P. Polok1.50Z. Sobkow2.50—Oct 11 · 07:45P. Polok1.91M. Lach1.80—Oct 11 · 09:00P. Polok2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Oct 11 · 13:05P. Polok1.50Z. Sobkow2.50—Oct 11 · 14:40P. Polok1.57D. Swider2.25—
M. Lach
Oct 11 · 03:25M. Lach1.53D. Swider2.38—Oct 11 · 04:10M. Lach1.20Z. Sobkow4.33—Oct 11 · 05:15M. Lach2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Oct 11 · 06:30M. Lach1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Oct 11 · 07:45M. Lach1.80P. Polok1.91—Oct 11 · 11:25M. Lach2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Oct 11 · 12:40M. Lach1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Oct 11 · 13:55M. Lach1.20Z. Sobkow4.33—
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