TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Zbigniew Sobkow vs Marcin Lach · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Oct 11, 04:10Scheduled
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Head to head
1 – 6
All 7 meetings · 14.3%
Last 7 · 1–6Same side
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Same-day rematch · 14h before this match
Lach beat Sobkow 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 4.333 / Lach 1.20
TT Elite Series · #13275227
Sobkow4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Lach1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 127 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 94 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSobkow1wins
AwayLach6wins
3 of 7 to a deciderLach leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobkown = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLach100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobkow2Lach5n = 7Lach took 5 of 7
S2Sobkow3Lach4n = 7Lach took 4 of 7
S3Sobkow3Lach4n = 7Lach took 4 of 7
S4Sobkow2Lach2n = 4split evenly
S5Sobkow0Lach3n = 3Lach took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSobkowLachS − LBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match34.138.6−4.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowLachBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 160 vs 166 / 26545%62.6%72 / 160 vs 166 / 265Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow219570M. Lach331111113
LSep 13 · 09:50Z. Sobkow2147100M. Lach341111123
LSep 13 · 05:40Z. Sobkow361177111M. Lach4491111133
WAug 23 · 11:25Z. Sobkow331111113M. Lach218940
LAug 23 · 05:15Z. Sobkow42511111142M. Lach50111369113
LAug 22 · 11:25Z. Sobkow3811171182M. Lach41117111113
LAug 22 · 05:15Z. Sobkow48611119112M. Lach47118411133
Z. Sobkow10
LOct 10 · 13:55M. Lach1.281111113Z. Sobkow3.506960LOct 10 · 13:05J. Wieczerzak1.301311113Z. Sobkow3.4011850LOct 10 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.50711841S. Szostok1.5011811113LOct 10 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.50111151052W. Wojtaszczyk1.50861112113WOct 10 · 09:50I. Szymanski3.0011114942Z. Sobkow1.36781111113LOct 10 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.639111031S. Szostok1.4411412113LOct 10 · 06:55Z. Sobkow1.44111012101G. Sawicki2.6381214123LOct 10 · 05:40Z. Sobkow3.0012750J. Wieczerzak1.361411113LOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.509570M. Lach1.501111113WOct 10 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.631111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.444880
M. Lach10
WOct 10 · 13:55M. Lach1.281111113Z. Sobkow3.506960WOct 10 · 12:40M. Lach1.141111113I. Szymanski5.003370WOct 10 · 11:25M. Lach1.83151114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.831391661WOct 10 · 10:10J. Wieczerzak1.837613111M. Lach1.83111111133WOct 10 · 09:25M. Lach1.6711119113S. Szostok2.10281161WOct 10 · 07:45M. Lach1.441111123G. Sawicki2.6378100WOct 10 · 06:30M. Lach1.671111113J. Wieczerzak2.105590LOct 10 · 05:15M. Lach1.917711111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133WOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.509570M. Lach1.501111113LOct 10 · 03:25M. Lach1.8099111162S. Szostok1.91111142113
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