TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Lach vs Zbigniew Sobkow · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Oct 11, 13:55Scheduled
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Head to head
6 – 1
All 7 meetings · 85.7%
Last 7 · 6–1Same side
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.20 / Sobkow 4.333
TT Elite Series · #13275282
Lach1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 127 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 94 of 117
Sobkow4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLach6wins
AwaySobkow1wins
3 of 7 to a deciderLach leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLach100%5 of 5
AwaySobkown = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lach5Sobkow2n = 7Lach took 5 of 7
S2Lach4Sobkow3n = 7Lach took 4 of 7
S3Lach4Sobkow3n = 7Lach took 4 of 7
S4Lach2Sobkow2n = 4split evenly
S5Lach3Sobkow0n = 3Lach took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricLachSobkowL − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.634.1+4.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 265 vs 72 / 16062.6%45%166 / 265 vs 72 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 10 · 04:10M. Lach331111113Z. Sobkow219570
WSep 13 · 09:50M. Lach341111123Z. Sobkow2147100
WSep 13 · 05:40M. Lach4491111133Z. Sobkow361177111
LAug 23 · 11:25M. Lach218940Z. Sobkow331111113
WAug 23 · 05:15M. Lach50111369113Z. Sobkow42511111142
WAug 22 · 11:25M. Lach41117111113Z. Sobkow3811171182
WAug 22 · 05:15M. Lach47118411133Z. Sobkow48611119112
M. Lach10
WOct 10 · 13:55M. Lach1.281111113Z. Sobkow3.506960WOct 10 · 12:40M. Lach1.141111113I. Szymanski5.003370WOct 10 · 11:25M. Lach1.83151114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.831391661WOct 10 · 10:10J. Wieczerzak1.837613111M. Lach1.83111111133WOct 10 · 09:25M. Lach1.6711119113S. Szostok2.10281161WOct 10 · 07:45M. Lach1.441111123G. Sawicki2.6378100WOct 10 · 06:30M. Lach1.671111113J. Wieczerzak2.105590LOct 10 · 05:15M. Lach1.917711111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133WOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.509570M. Lach1.501111113LOct 10 · 03:25M. Lach1.8099111162S. Szostok1.91111142113
Z. Sobkow10
LOct 10 · 13:55M. Lach1.281111113Z. Sobkow3.506960LOct 10 · 13:05J. Wieczerzak1.301311113Z. Sobkow3.4011850LOct 10 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.50711841S. Szostok1.5011811113LOct 10 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.50111151052W. Wojtaszczyk1.50861112113WOct 10 · 09:50I. Szymanski3.0011114942Z. Sobkow1.36781111113LOct 10 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.639111031S. Szostok1.4411412113LOct 10 · 06:55Z. Sobkow1.44111012101G. Sawicki2.6381214123LOct 10 · 05:40Z. Sobkow3.0012750J. Wieczerzak1.361411113LOct 10 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.509570M. Lach1.501111113WOct 10 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.631111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.444880
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