TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Dariusz Swider · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Oct 11, 06:05Scheduled
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Head to head
1 – 1
All 2 meetings · 50.0%
Last 2 · 1–1
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Pawel Polok arrives off 5 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersPrice verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 9 of 15
0 of 15 playedOSP 1 · Group 2 of 2 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Aleksander Cichocki | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Dariusz SwiderThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Jacek Wieczerzak | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Marcin Lach | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Pawel PolokThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Zbigniew Sobkow | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.615 / Swider 2.20
TT Elite Series · #13275326
Polok1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it95% 80 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it84% 112 of 134
Swider2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePolok1wins
AwaySwider1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPolokSwiderP − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.039.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokSwiderBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 295 vs 15 / 3062.7%50%185 / 295 vs 15 / 30Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 4 · 13:05P. Polok4611811792D. Swider46711611113
WOct 4 · 06:55P. Polok401311163D. Swider32117140
P. Polok10
LOct 5 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.7511119113P. Polok1.90471161LOct 5 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.3611139143P. Polok2.9181111121LOct 5 · 13:55Y. Fomin2.301111113P. Polok1.527860LOct 5 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.811111113P. Polok1.909470LOct 5 · 11:30J. Pelka1.6711911123P. Polok2.108119101WOct 5 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.85119881P. Polok1.8571111113WOct 5 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.107940P. Polok1.301111113WOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin2.158460P. Polok1.601111113LOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 05:30G. Wichowski—12911133P. Polok—10119111
D. Swider10
WOct 10 · 16:40D. Swider1.4611119133W. Buczynski2.506711111LOct 10 · 15:05D. Morawiec1.90116112113D. Swider1.8071171172WOct 10 · 14:20A. Cichocki2.1691191182D. Swider1.63116119113LOct 10 · 13:30D. Swider1.6011611161P. Gumulinski2.1513117183LOct 10 · 12:20D. Swider3.4064100M. Oracz1.271111123WOct 10 · 10:40D. Swider1.44111210113W. Buczynski2.605101221WOct 10 · 09:05D. Morawiec1.987440D. Swider1.751111113LOct 10 · 08:20M. Oracz1.471113113D. Swider2.4551130LOct 10 · 07:30D. Swider1.5411510111P. Gumulinski2.3331112133LOct 10 · 06:20D. Swider—1011591A. Cichocki—12411113
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
Oct 11 · 03:50P. Polok1.83J. Wieczerzak1.83—Oct 11 · 04:30P. Polok2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Oct 11 · 06:55P. Polok1.50Z. Sobkow2.50—Oct 11 · 07:45P. Polok1.91M. Lach1.80—Oct 11 · 09:00P. Polok2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Oct 11 · 10:10P. Polok1.91M. Lach1.80—Oct 11 · 13:05P. Polok1.50Z. Sobkow2.50—Oct 11 · 14:40P. Polok1.57D. Swider2.25—
D. Swider
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