TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Yurij Fomin vs Pawel Polok 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
117118116––––
H2H Yurij Fomin 0–5 Pawel Polok Yurij Fomin has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Polok beat Fomin 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.30 / Polok 1.52
TT Elite Series · #13249217
Fomin2.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Polok1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 134 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it95% 78 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it83% 110 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFomin0wins
AwayPolok5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPolok leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFominn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPolok100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin1Polok4n = 5Polok took 4 of 5
S2Fomin4Polok1n = 5Fomin took 4 of 5
S3Fomin0Polok5n = 5Polok took 5 of 5
S4Fomin0Polok4n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricFominPolokF − PBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.243.0−8.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 565 vs 185 / 29248.9%63.4%276 / 565 vs 185 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PolokFomin 2.30/Polok 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin188460P. Polok331111113
LSep 25 · 06:45Y. Fomin34414791P. Polok45111211113
LSep 18 · 07:35Y. Fomin419119121P. Polok4211611143
LAug 21 · 07:10Y. Fomin35514971P. Polok45111211113
LAug 16 · 06:30Y. Fomin4311118582P. Polok50891111113
Y. Fomin10
LOct 5 · 15:05Y. Fomin2.2581060R. Skotniczny1.571112113WOct 5 · 12:45J. Pelka1.655490Y. Fomin2.101111113WOct 5 · 11:55Y. Fomin1.29111115113J. Kaczmarek3.30861761WOct 5 · 10:20Y. Fomin2.1012911163J. Pelka1.6510116141LOct 5 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.30911061R. Skotniczny1.5211811113LOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin2.158460P. Polok1.601111113WOct 5 · 06:45G. Wichowski2.27811681Y. Fomin1.5711611113LOct 5 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.328915121J. Kaczmarek3.05111113143WOct 2 · 08:20Y. Fomin2.4611412113M. Lebek1.495111051WOct 2 · 06:45M. Adamus2.004760Y. Fomin1.731111113
P. Polok10
LOct 5 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.811111113P. Polok1.909470LOct 5 · 11:30J. Pelka1.6711911123P. Polok2.108119101WOct 5 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.85119881P. Polok1.8571111113WOct 5 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.107940P. Polok1.301111113WOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin2.158460P. Polok1.601111113LOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 05:30G. Wichowski—12911133P. Polok—10119111LOct 4 · 14:40P. Polok1.5011940J. Jesiek2.501311113LOct 4 · 13:05P. Polok1.5011811792D. Swider2.50711611113WOct 4 · 11:50P. Polok1.3311127113R. Idaczyk3.257101121
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