TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Lyman vs Oleksandr Syksa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811511116411
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched: 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 85 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 84.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 4–35 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Lyman has won 4 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2984.6%Our read83.3%to break even at 1.20
clears by 1.3pp83.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.20 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-35 in 39
Syksa
Correct
gap of 31 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1395 vs Syksa 1535
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 20% vs Syksa 60%
Syksa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 30% vs Syksa 60%
Syksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman -3 · Syksa +1
Lyman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% · Strong (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 4.333 / Syksa 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Syksa)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #13271050
Lyman4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 68 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Syksa1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 250 of 368
Up 2–0, closes it95% 102 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it83% 168 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman1wins
AwaySyksa9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman20%1 of 5
AwaySyksa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S2Lyman5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Lyman0Syksa10n = 10Syksa took 10 of 10
S4Lyman3Syksa6n = 9Syksa took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanSyksaL − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.941.4−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 633 vs 590 / 112342.2%52.5%267 / 633 vs 590 / 1123Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaLyman 4.33/Syksa 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 11:00O. Lyman31116681O. Syksa4071111113
WOct 8 · 11:00O. Lyman4111118113O. Syksa30471181
LOct 5 · 09:30O. Lyman26511731O. Syksa3411111113
LOct 2 · 04:30O. Lyman331146121O. Syksa4261111143
LSep 30 · 05:00O. Lyman36117991O. Syksa4181111113
LSep 28 · 07:30O. Lyman49611514132O. Syksa541151112153
LSep 24 · 06:30O. Lyman207940O. Syksa331111113
LSep 21 · 09:00O. Lyman304131031O. Syksa45111112113
LSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman30811561O. Syksa4211911113
LSep 17 · 09:30O. Lyman4311461392O. Syksa539111111113
O. Lyman10
LOct 10 · 14:30O. Lyman2.631371271D. Kuzmenko1.44151110113LOct 10 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.141111113O. Lyman5.007270LOct 9 · 11:00O. Syksa1.2271111113O. Lyman4.00116681LOct 9 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.33111115113O. Lyman3.25981761LOct 9 · 08:30O. Kurylenko1.671111113O. Lyman2.104790WOct 9 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251146101O. Lyman1.3391111123LOct 9 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.571171110113O. Lyman2.2541191272WOct 8 · 11:00O. Lyman4.5011118113O. Syksa1.17471181LOct 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.57111139113O. Lyman2.25114111152LOct 8 · 08:00O. Lyman3.4091161172M. Hubenko1.30114119113
O. Syksa10
LOct 10 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.61111111113O. Syksa2.20137441LOct 10 · 14:00A. Vasylets1.401112113O. Syksa2.7511090WOct 9 · 11:00O. Syksa1.2271111113O. Lyman4.00116681LOct 9 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.2011118113O. Syksa1.61981181LOct 9 · 08:00O. Syksa2.7511691162M. Hubenko1.40411119113WOct 9 · 07:00O. Kurylenko1.91881181O. Syksa1.8011118113WOct 9 · 05:30O. Syksa1.3311126113S. Miroshnychenko3.255101181LOct 8 · 11:00O. Lyman4.5011118113O. Syksa1.17471181WOct 8 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.5011118972O. Syksa2.50961111113WOct 8 · 08:30S. Miroshnychenko3.4011117592O. Syksa1.30971111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Lyman
Nothing scheduled
O. Syksa
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