TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Miroshnychenko vs Oleksandr Syksa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117711511911
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:21 and never touched: 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 76.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 44–91 Oleksandr Syksa Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 44 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2176.7%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 0.2pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-91 in 135
Syksa
Correct
gap of 47 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1332 vs Syksa 1530
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 0% vs Syksa 40%
Syksa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 30% vs Syksa 60%
Syksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko -5 · Syksa -1
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 3.40 / Syksa 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Syksa)-0.2pp
Setka Cup · #13261395
Miroshnychenko3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 70 of 309
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 100
Syksa1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 245 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it95% 100 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko0wins
AwaySyksa10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenko0%0 of 5
AwaySyksa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S2Miroshnychenko3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko1Syksa8n = 9Syksa took 8 of 9
S5Miroshnychenko0Syksa3n = 3Syksa took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoSyksaM − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.442.9−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 853 vs 593 / 112634.9%52.7%298 / 853 vs 593 / 1126Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaMiroshnychenko 3.40/Syksa 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 08:30S. Miroshnychenko4311117592O. Syksa49971111113
LOct 2 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko4085111152O. Syksa48111169113
LOct 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko31961151O. Syksa4011117113
LSep 24 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko35135981O. Syksa44111111113
LSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko199550O. Syksa331111113
LSep 17 · 08:30S. Miroshnychenko28841151O. Syksa4211119113
LSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko311146101O. Syksa4061111123
LSep 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko341011491O. Syksa4212811113
LAug 24 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko4311118582O. Syksa50981111113
LAug 23 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko30116941O. Syksa4181111113
S. Miroshnychenko10
LOct 8 · 07:00S. Miroshnychenko3.4071181192O. Lyman1.30119119113LOct 8 · 05:00S. Miroshnychenko4.50116641M. Hubenko1.1761111113LOct 6 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.25811451O. Kurylenko1.3311711113LOct 6 · 09:30O. Lyman1.331111113S. Miroshnychenko3.256590LOct 6 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.50158128113S. Miroshnychenko2.501311101182WOct 6 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50111178133D. Kuzmenko1.50681111112WOct 6 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.408720S. Miroshnychenko2.751111113LOct 2 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50711781D. Kuzmenko1.5011911113WOct 2 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40711781S. Miroshnychenko2.7511411113LOct 2 · 07:30O. Syksa1.30111169113S. Miroshnychenko3.4085111152
O. Syksa10
LOct 8 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko2.1081111113O. Syksa1.67117591WOct 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.38101116652O. Syksa1.531261411113WOct 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.91611581O. Syksa1.8011611113LOct 7 · 10:00O. Syksa4.50108110S. Chuhai1.171211133LOct 7 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.50129711113O. Syksa2.50101111972WOct 7 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.0061171152O. Syksa1.73115118113WOct 7 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.53115111162O. Syksa2.38311713113LOct 5 · 10:30S. Maliuk2.2011611113O. Syksa1.61711661WOct 5 · 09:30O. Syksa1.2011111113O. Lyman4.33511731WOct 2 · 07:30O. Syksa1.30111169113S. Miroshnychenko3.4085111152
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