TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114711811––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched: 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 70.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 76–30 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 30 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2870.7%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 0.7pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
76-30 in 106
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 46 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1524 vs Miroshnychenko 1331
Prylepa
Wrong
both rated, 193 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 80% vs Miroshnychenko 0%
Prylepa
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 60% vs Miroshnychenko 10%
Prylepa
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +3 · Miroshnychenko -8
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Prylepa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Prylepa)-0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13228947
Prylepa1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 126 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it86% 102 of 119
Miroshnychenko2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back11% 21 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
Prylepa leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%7 of 7
AwayMiroshnychenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S4Prylepa7Miroshnychenko1n = 8Prylepa took 7 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMiroshnychenkoP − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.432.3+6.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 808 vs 306 / 86249.6%35.5%401 / 808 vs 306 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 08:30D. Prylepa45121111113S. Miroshnychenko371013861
WSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa44111111113S. Miroshnychenko29513471
LSep 10 · 04:30D. Prylepa269890S. Miroshnychenko331111113
LAug 24 · 08:30D. Prylepa30851161S. Miroshnychenko4211119113
WAug 23 · 11:00D. Prylepa341111123S. Miroshnychenko2679100
WAug 20 · 08:30D. Prylepa4241112153S. Miroshnychenko4011610131
WAug 18 · 10:30D. Prylepa3911611113S. Miroshnychenko33711781
WAug 12 · 09:30D. Prylepa4211911113S. Miroshnychenko27511651
WAug 5 · 08:30D. Prylepa4111118113S. Miroshnychenko28841151
WJul 29 · 05:00D. Prylepa4111118113S. Miroshnychenko28571151
D. Prylepa10
WOct 2 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4412121071D. Prylepa2.63141012113WOct 2 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.4013611113O. Lyman2.751111981WOct 2 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113O. Ziakun2.00771191WOct 2 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57611112113D. Kuzmenko2.2511681152LOct 1 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0011149113D. Prylepa1.736121171WOct 1 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.611111113D. Kuzmenko2.209940WOct 1 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.40121111113S. Miroshnychenko2.751013861LOct 1 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.63711361O. Syksa1.4411811113WOct 1 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.38961114113M. Hubenko1.53111111282LSep 28 · 10:30O. Syksa1.401111913113D. Prylepa2.7576111562
S. Miroshnychenko10
LOct 2 · 07:30O. Syksa1.30111169113S. Miroshnychenko3.4085111152LOct 2 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko3.25811791O. Lyman1.3311911113LOct 2 · 05:30O. Ziakun1.4411911113S. Miroshnychenko2.63711891LOct 1 · 11:00O. Syksa1.3011117113S. Miroshnychenko3.40961151LOct 1 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.1711118133S. Miroshnychenko4.505411111LOct 1 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.40121111113S. Miroshnychenko2.751013861LOct 1 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko1.501112113S. Miroshnychenko2.5091090LOct 1 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.441317913113S. Miroshnychenko2.631515111152WSep 29 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.6311117113D. Kuzmenko1.44991141LSep 29 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.4071311113S. Miroshnychenko2.751111691
Upcoming Matches
D. Prylepa
Nothing scheduled
S. Miroshnychenko
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