TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sydorchuk vs Mykhailo Senyk 0-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
6116111212––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-12
Point 58 set 3, 12-12 · our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 60.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 21–46 Mykhailo Senyk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 21 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:3760.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.8pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-46 in 67
Senyk
Correct
gap of 25 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 668 vs Senyk 690
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Senyk 60%
Senyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Senyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Senyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Senyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.25 / Senyk 1.571
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Senyk)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270710
Sydorchuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 03) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Senyk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 03) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 78 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it84% 57 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwaySenyk8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk50%2 of 4
AwaySenyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk4Senyk6n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Sydorchuk6Senyk4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk2Senyk7n = 9Senyk took 7 of 9
S4Sydorchuk3Senyk5n = 8Senyk took 5 of 8
S5Sydorchuk2Senyk5n = 7Senyk took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukSenykSydorchuk − SenykBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.045.0−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 361 vs 156 / 36342.7%43%154 / 361 vs 156 / 363Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSydorchuk 2.25/Senyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 3 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk27611461M. Senyk4211911113
LSep 27 · 12:25V. Sydorchuk4791111972M. Senyk51119911113
LSep 22 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk50911111182M. Senyk48116137113
LSep 19 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk4111114872M. Senyk48781111113
WSep 18 · 11:55V. Sydorchuk49136118113M. Senyk45111141182
WSep 13 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk44116511113M. Senyk3581111232
LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk53817711102M. Senyk521115113123
LSep 1 · 10:05V. Sydorchuk207760M. Senyk331111113
LAug 18 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk3811136352M. Senyk517111111113
V. Sydorchuk10
LOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113WOct 10 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk2.256712101V. Sydorchuk1.57111110123LOct 3 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk3.2591111113V. Sydorchuk1.33118741WOct 3 · 09:25V. Sydorchuk2.1011711113O. Bolnyh1.67811851LOct 3 · 08:25V. Sydorchuk5.008650V. Slobodian1.141111113LOct 3 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk2.20611461M. Senyk1.6111911113WSep 27 · 18:55A. Lanchut6.00117781V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 27 · 17:25V. Sydorchuk2.6311950V. Slobodian1.441311113WSep 27 · 15:25O. Kulbach5.50118571V. Sydorchuk1.1371111113WSep 27 · 13:25V. Moroz4.506101131V. Sydorchuk1.1711128113
M. Senyk10
WOct 10 · 14:55A. Lanchut4.509490M. Senyk1.171111113WOct 10 · 13:55M. Senyk2.6311158773O. Bolnyh1.44813111152LOct 3 · 10:55M. Senyk5.506630V. Slobodian1.131111113LOct 3 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk4.001111113M. Senyk1.228970WOct 3 · 07:53M. Senyk1.531311113O. Kundeus2.3811980WOct 3 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk2.20611461M. Senyk1.6111911113WOct 3 · 05:25M. Senyk2.6311114113O. Bolnyh1.44991181LOct 1 · 18:25M. Senyk4.50611491P. Melnichuk1.1711711113LOct 1 · 16:25O. Martynenko1.1711611113M. Senyk4.50911861LOct 1 · 15:25M. Senyk2.7591511872O. Bolnyh1.401113911113
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