TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Kovalchuk vs Oleksandr Storozhenko · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 11, 02:30Scheduled
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Head to head
22 – 21
All 43 meetings · 51.2%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersPrice verdict
Value · MediumOleksandr Storozhenko at 1.909
The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 14 of 15
0 of 15 playedGroup 6 of 15 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Dmytro Shchegelskyi | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Maksym Khomenko | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr Alieksieev | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr StorozhenkoThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vladyslav KovalchukThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Yurii Parahailo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 1.80 / Storozhenko 1.909
Setka Cup · #13270544
Kovalchuk1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 09)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite68% won 79 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Storozhenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 09)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back25% 17 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk6wins
AwayStorozhenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk75%3 of 4
AwayStorozhenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Kovalchuk8Storozhenko2n = 10Kovalchuk took 8 of 10
S3Kovalchuk6Storozhenko4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S4Kovalchuk4Storozhenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Kovalchuk2Storozhenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukStorozhenkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.2+1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 770 vs 306 / 58248.2%52.6%371 / 770 vs 306 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 21:45V. Kovalchuk43101111113O. Storozhenko33127681
LOct 4 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk32414771O. Storozhenko45111211113
WOct 3 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk331111113O. Storozhenko226970
LSep 20 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk3661211342O. Storozhenko481110511113
LSep 18 · 20:30V. Kovalchuk4611811972O. Storozhenko50911811113
WAug 24 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk371511113O. Storozhenko2513660
WAug 23 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk44111111113O. Storozhenko37781391
WAug 18 · 13:35V. Kovalchuk485101111113O. Storozhenko4911128992
WAug 14 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk501111611113O. Storozhenko4313511592
LAug 11 · 17:05V. Kovalchuk4610151291O. Storozhenko50121314113
V. Kovalchuk10
LOct 9 · 02:15V. Kovalchuk1.838131181M. Khomenko1.83111113113LOct 9 · 00:45V. Kovalchuk1.7391180Y. Tebenko2.001113113LOct 8 · 23:15V. Kovalchuk1.8381480D. Shchegelskyi1.831116113WOct 8 · 21:45V. Kovalchuk1.80101111113O. Storozhenko1.91127681LOct 8 · 20:15V. Kovalchuk2.635250Y. Parahailo1.441111113LOct 5 · 10:35V. Kovalchuk1.911161491M. Khomenko1.8061116113LOct 5 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk1.67611681Y. Tebenko2.1011611113LOct 5 · 07:35V. Kovalchuk2.20811111182D. Shchegelskyi1.61119139113WOct 5 · 06:05V. Kovalchuk1.83101111113Y. Kolos1.83128941LOct 5 · 04:35V. Kovalchuk2.506760Y. Parahailo1.501111113
O. Storozhenko10
LOct 9 · 03:15D. Shchegelskyi1.9111117113O. Storozhenko1.80961191WOct 9 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.8391111113Y. Parahailo1.83117971WOct 8 · 23:45Y. Tebenko1.916970O. Storozhenko1.801111113LOct 8 · 21:45V. Kovalchuk1.80101111113O. Storozhenko1.91127681WOct 8 · 20:45M. Khomenko1.3312340O. Storozhenko3.251411113WOct 7 · 10:35O. Storozhenko1.53811611113M. Potapov2.3811611772WOct 7 · 09:05O. Storozhenko1.8311117113Y. Tebenko1.83811191WOct 7 · 07:35O. Storozhenko1.6741111113I. Pytsko2.10116861LOct 7 · 06:05O. Storozhenko1.6171180I. Fashchevskyi2.201113113LOct 7 · 04:35O. Storozhenko1.67101191172D. Maltsev2.10129119113
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