TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Petr vs Vladimir Kubat 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Petr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Petr above · Vladimir Kubat below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Pavel Petr at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Petr 7–5 Vladimir Kubat Vladimir Kubat has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5854.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Petr
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Petr
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petr 1128 vs Kubat 991
Petr
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petr 60% vs Kubat 20%
Petr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petr 50% vs Kubat 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petr -1 · Kubat -4
Kubat
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Petr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetr 1.727 / Kubat 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Petr)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269586
Petr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 15 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 28 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Kubat2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetr6wins
AwayKubat4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPetr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetr50%3 of 6
AwayKubat25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petr6Kubat4n = 10Petr took 6 of 10
S2Petr5Kubat5n = 10split evenly
S3Petr6Kubat4n = 10Petr took 6 of 10
S4Petr2Kubat6n = 8Kubat took 6 of 8
S5Petr3Kubat0n = 3Petr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetrKubatP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.9+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 126 vs 104 / 25957.1%40.2%72 / 126 vs 104 / 259Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PetrPetr 1.73/Kubat 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Petr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 10 · 06:00P. Petr331111113V. Kubat208660
LSep 25 · 09:30P. Petr35119691V. Kubat3631111113
WSep 25 · 08:30P. Petr4291111113V. Kubat30117751
LSep 16 · 09:30P. Petr28113951V. Kubat4181111113
LSep 16 · 06:00P. Petr35691191V. Kubat4011117113
WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr44111129113V. Kubat4579111172
WJul 8 · 06:00P. Petr331111113V. Kubat229940
LJun 17 · 07:00P. Petr311151051V. Kubat4171112113
WMay 6 · 08:00P. Petr49811118113V. Kubat4611781192
WMar 11 · 08:00P. Petr48961111113V. Kubat4811119892
P. Petr10
LOct 10 · 07:30J. Koch2.38711145113P. Petr1.53117121192LSep 25 · 09:30P. Petr1.53119691V. Kubat2.3831111113WSep 25 · 08:30P. Petr1.8091111113V. Kubat1.91117751WSep 25 · 07:00P. Petr1.6711119113J. Pantak2.10831191WSep 25 · 06:00J. Koch2.2081111592P. Petr1.61118911113LSep 16 · 09:30V. Kubat2.0081111113P. Petr1.72113951WSep 16 · 08:00P. Petr1.3391111113J. Stary3.25118671WSep 16 · 07:30J. Koch2.50118791P. Petr1.5071111113LSep 16 · 06:00P. Petr1.53691191V. Kubat2.3811117113LSep 9 · 12:59P. Petr1.2261181182J. Stary4.00118115113
V. Kubat10
LOct 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.61611471P. Potmesil2.2011711113LOct 6 · 13:01C. Havrda1.83911811113V. Kubat1.8311911382LOct 6 · 12:30V. Kubat2.00481191J. Strnad1.7311116113LOct 6 · 11:00V. Kubat1.448990P. Potmesil2.631111113LOct 6 · 10:00C. Havrda1.50111011123V. Kubat2.508123101WSep 25 · 09:30P. Petr1.53119691V. Kubat2.3831111113LSep 25 · 08:30P. Petr1.8091111113V. Kubat1.91117751WSep 25 · 07:30V. Kubat1.4091111113J. Koch2.75118671WSep 16 · 09:30V. Kubat2.0081111113P. Petr1.72113951WSep 16 · 06:00P. Petr1.53691191V. Kubat2.3811117113
Upcoming Matches
P. Petr
Nothing scheduled
V. Kubat
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